Jones Knows has tips, analysis and predictions on the weekend's action, and he is backing a title twist against Man City.
The first two to score were Reece James and Dwight McNeil.
Many fans think this could be the game where the title is won by Manchester City. It is easy to see why. The Toon have taken more points than any other team since the start of the year.
Sky Bet has a double chance selection for the draw and the win at odds of 1/2.
It is not a bet for me. I am in the camp. The team has won 12 of their last 13 games.
Eddie Howe oversaw most of the games that were watched by the public. In their last 11 games, in which they have taken 25 points, the aggregate score is just 16-11. That is backed up by the expected goals data.
Howe's men are winning matches by fine margins, meaning their current points per game ratio will be unsustainable in the short term. Howe has faced all the top five teams and lost all five of them.
The most likely outcome is a victory for the Reds, but they will face a difficult task.
Over their last 11 games in the league, only Manchester City andLiverpool have posted better defensive numbers. In nine of the 11 games, the xG against process has been below 1.00, with only two teams breaking that barrier.
There is plenty of juice in backing the Reds to win a low scoring game. Five of their last seven games have seen the Reds win. Sky Bet has it at 3/1 to go in again. That will do for me.
If they lose here and lose to Burnley, they will be demoted. Dean Smith fell through the trap door.
After Dan Burn came within a whisker of landing us a 40/1 first goalscorer winner last weekend against Norwich for Newcastle, it is time to attack that angle again. Only two centre-backs have played 2,000 minutes or more this season, and they average more touches in the box than Mings.
He has 21 shots on goal this season, drawing an expected goals figure of 2.19 with his only actual goal coming againstBrighton in November. He is the value play at 40/1 to score first against a side that have faced the most shots and conceded the highest amount of expected goals from set-pieces.
My instincts have taken me to the goals market once again in a very tight game, as I have done in the past. If you have been backing the over goal-line in Saints games this season you will be swimming in profit and it is not time to abandon that theory in a game involving two teams that can play with the shackles off.
An average of 3.3 goals per game have been produced by two goals or more in 26 of the last 27 games. We should take huge confidence from that sample size when assessing the goal-line in this fixture. Since the start of March, the side have conceded 19 goals in their last eight games, second only to the Hornets. This can be an end-to-end encounter.
Roy was retired. His side have won just two of their last 22 games and have the lowest home points of any team in the top four divisions of English football. Only two teams have lost 10 consecutive top-flight home games in a row, after Birmingham City in February 1986 and Sunderland in August 2005. The right team has given them form and confidence. I would be surprised if they could stop them from winning again.
The increased confidence is flowing through the feet of the player at the moment, who has looked reborn in the wins over Saints and Wolves. Sean Dyche demoted the 22-year-old after he struggled with his form. Under the new boss, Mike Jackson, he has had a look at the man in the mirror and found himself in a position where he can cut in. In his last two appearances, he has fired six shots at goal with two of them hitting the target.
His shots prices are a good bet this weekend against the worst team in the league.
Take your pick on him to have two, three, or four shots on goal or roll with the 6/4 with Sky Bet for him to have at least one shot on target. The player with the most shots and shots on target without scoring is McNeil. The last player to have more attempts on target without finding the net was Jesus. He is a big price to score.
Graham Potter is doing a great job with limited resources. His ability to improve footballers and his tactical flexibility is going to land him a big job one day, even though his teams don't win enough. His teams have problems playing against defensive lines. In matches against Sean Dyche, Roy Hodgson, Nuno Espirito Santo, Bruno Lage, David Moyes, Sam Allardyce and Steven Gerrard, Potter's record reads P28 W3 D15 L.
Wolves won the reverse fixture at the Amex by hitting the counter- attack and soaking up the pressure. The case for under 2.5 goals is very strong and it makes sense to back a Wolves win and under 2.5 goals.
Call me what you want, I am taking on Manchester City at 1/2 with Sky Bet.
The money is saying that the boys stand an 80 percent chance of winning. I was happy to swim against that tide despite the haunting thoughts of the last time I tipped a team. The team won by seven. There is a person who says "gulp."
I am very uneasy about City because of the theory that has yielded good profit. They are being vulnerable. They have lost in the next domestic match to Wigan (0-1), Manchester United (3-2) and Spurs (2-3) after 15 knockout games where the tie was realistic.
They have conceded a goal in 10 of the encounters. The sample size is small, but there does seem to be a drop in levels after a big midweek effort in Europe where the emotions involved in their pursuit for that elusive trophy do seem to weigh heavy. That can be said for the Real Madrid game on Tuesday.
This might be a good time for the Reds to get a win.
Jesse Marsch's side have kept successive clean sheets and conceded just four goals in their last five games. Since promotion, the team has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per 90 minutes with and without him. His influence is huge. He can play a leading role in helping the team avoid defeat.
Goodison Park has been the only ground where the Blues have not taken a point since the start of the season. If you want to come back, you are a braver person than me.
We have a classic case of siding with the team with it all to play for against one that hasn't, so the home win was tempting. The uncertain atmosphere at the club seems to be finally causing a strain on the team. Some iffy results are creeping in because of this state of flux.
Sunday 1st May 2:00pm Kick off 2:00pmDespite the fact that their focus has dropped, they have won eight of their last nine away games and it should be nine from nine.
After a few weeks of playing in the back three, the man at the heart of that showing was Reece James, who was in rampaging form switched back to his attack-minded wing-back role. When he is on a song, they are a different animal.
He had the most touches in the opposition box of any player in the game, and the most touches overall, which shows just how involved he was. There were four shots on goal from James. He should have helped Kai Havertz to convert after a delicious cross.
"What a player Reece James is," said Roy Keane on his performance.
He looks like a boxer. His strength. He seems like a nice kid. He could play in any position. It's a lucky club to have him. Outstanding.
The England man is a great bet this weekend, as he is playing against a team that is likely to be demoted. Take your pick from him to have two shots, three shots, and four shots. He has scored five goals in the premier league this season. Sky Bet has a 5/1 on him to bag anytime.
Sound the alarm. Harry Kane has not scored a goal in over 500 minutes.
When he needs help, his opponent knocks at the door. In his last eight starts, he has scored 12 goals against the Foxes, which is more than any other club in his career.
Sky Bet has the Kane scoring angle at 14/1 with him scoring first and the option to score anytime. I think we can be more aggressive than that, with Spurs capable of running up high scoring wins in their favour under Antonio Conte. Kane has scored at least twice selection at Sky Bet four times in his career, and that has led me to him.
The Hammers have scored in their last 18 league matches at the London Stadium and are the only side to have scored in every home game this season.
Every run has to end.
The axis of Ben White, Gabriel and Aaron Ramsdale are the best in the league outside of Manchester City and Liverpool. They have kept a clean sheet in 13 of 29 games they have played together.
Since the addition of the knockouts to their schedule, West Ham's eyes have been diverted from their league form. With the season-defining fixture with Eintracht Frankfurt on Thursday, it is easy to see David Moyes resting his key players like Declan Rice and Michail Antonio once again. There is no first-team centre-backs available for selection due to the suspension of Craig Dawson and the likely risk of Kurt Zouma.
Mikel Arteta's team can win the game nil if they play them.
The price on an away win for Brentford is as short as 7/2, which is a bad situation for Manchester United. Thomas Frank's side are now much more than just a bus stop in Hounslow and this is a fixture that they should be excited about. Winning at Old Trafford for the first time since 1937 would be a huge moment for the Bees.
Monday 2nd May 7:00pm Kick off 8:00pmThey have a problem with Manchester United.
With his 17th goal of the season on Thursday,Ronaldo moved level with Heung-Min Son in second place in the league goal scoring charts. You can rest assured that he has his eyes on the Egyptian. He will be on penalties.
After a run of one goal in 10 games, Rooney has scored eight of United's last nine goals, including match-winning hat-tricks against Spurs and Norwich, in an emphatic response to criticism that came his way earlier in the season. The most obvious play is the savvy one. Sky Bet hasRonaldo at 9/2 to score twice.