According to a new study published in the Canadian Medical Association Journal, unvaccinated people pose a risk to the safety of people who have the vaccine.
The University of Toronto researchers looked at the interactions between unvaccinated and vaccine groups using a computer model and found that unvaccinated people have a disproportionate risk of Covid-19 infections.
The model simulations the spread of Covid-19 under a variety of different parameters and mixing between unvaccinated and vaccination people, including vaccine effectiveness and uptake, baseline levels of immunity among the unvaccinated and the rate of recovery from infection.
The model showed that the risk of infections was higher in scenarios where people were unvaccinated and vaccination rates were high.
The researchers said that the unvaccinated are likely to affect the health and safety of the vaccine recipients in a way that is disproportionate to the fraction of unvaccinated people.
The risks of forgoing vaccine are more for the unvaccinated than for the vaccine-vaccinated. David Fisman is a professor of epidemiology at the University of Toronto. In light of this, Fisman said policies like vaccine mandates or vaccine passports that restrict access to non-essential services such as restaurant dining or public transport seem reasonable. The US has a long history of law and policy supporting vaccine mandates for the sake of public health.
Fisman said that the findings are very supportive of vaccine mandates for flights and trains.
Fisman said that the paper doesn't capture another series of health risks that the unvaccinated impose upon the vaccine. Fisman said they take up more resources and deprive the unvaccinated of access to care for other conditions, such as cancer or heart disease, as the unvaccinated are more likely to end up in hospital with Covid-19.
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