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On the Good Friday of the Ukrainian Orthodox Easter, the Ukrainian defenders of the besieged city of Mariupol, named for the Virgin Mary, defeated eight weeks of repeated Russian attempts to seize and clear the city.

They have been through a lot, including a lot of bombardment and assaults. As the city around them was destroyed, they fought for their nationhood, their families, their lives and their future.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to leave the 100,000 civilians and thousands of defenders isolated and starving. The battle for the city is important for both the West and Ukraine.

Russia is sending a message to the West

Russia would have full control of the Ukrainian seacoast from the east along the shores of the Sea of Azov to the outskirts of Odesa if the city fell. This would clear the way for easier logistical support for Russian forces in the south and further degrade Ukrainian efforts to defend Odesa.

Smoke rises from a plant in Mariupol after a Russian attack.
Smoke rises from a plant in Mariupol after a Russian attack.

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The clock is running because the Ukrainian resistance can't be maintained indefinitely without food, water and replenishment of ammunition. Russian efforts to encircle and destroy Ukrainian forces in Donbas are being reinforced by the freeing up of a large number of Russian forces.

The battle of Mariupol is significant for both Russia and Ukraine, and for the 100,000 innocent lives that are at stake.

Russia is sending a message to the West that it will use all the means necessary to achieve its objectives in Ukraine. A city of more than 400,000 has been deliberately erased through heavy and indiscriminate use of weaponry.

Psychological campaign of terror

Humanitarian relief convoys were blocked, humanitarian exit corridors have been mined, areas of refuge deliberately targeted and nominally agreed civilian evacuates often fired upon, all part of a psychological campaign of terror.

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In taking over areas of the city, Russia has shown it will execute a ruthless campaign of "filtration", abducting the civilian population and murdering potential opponents. Satellite imagery shows a mass grave site.

The theater damaged during fighting in Mariupol in April 2022.
The theater damaged during fighting in Mariupol in April 2022.

The United Nations General Assembly voted to condemn Russia, multiple investigations of potential Russian war crimes, and heavy and escalating economic sanctions on Russia were some of the larger efforts that failed to stop the war and save the city.

Not even the initial failures around Kyiv, poor Russian intelligence, visits by Western leaders to Kyiv and appeals to Putin himself have persuaded the Russian leader to negotiate an end to the conflict and release his nation's grip on Mariupol.

There should be clear messages to the West. The outcome in Ukraine will be determined by the facts on the ground. There will be more Mariupols if the Ukrainians are not given the weapons necessary to defeat the Russians.

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Putin has shown a Stalinesque ability to shrug off defeats and disloyalty, while Ukraine's fierce spirit of resistance is under daily assault. Putin has not stopped throwing more forces into the battles.

Russia's war industries are more robust than that of Ukraine and are more likely to be supported by China.

Putin has increased his threats against the West because of the sanctions. The West has not been able to provide enough military support to compel Russia to negotiate.

Western worries about Putin's red lines and the possibility that he will escalate to the use of nuclear weapons have fed into his psychological campaign against NATO and the United States.

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What needs to happen now in Ukraine

The West's ambivalence in responding to Russian threats is hurting American credibility on a global scale, as leaders in the Middle East, Asia and Africa hedge their bets on the outcome of the struggle in Ukraine.

NATO's eventual collapse was set in motion by Putin's plans to roll back NATO membership for Eastern Europe. The ability to manage peacefully the ascent of China would be weakened by seven decades of American leadership in Europe.

NATO has provided stability to Europe for almost 30 years, but has imposed red lines against support to Ukraine. The world sees that this is hurting NATO's confidence.

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The West is not yet winning against Putin's attack on NATO and the international order.

The destruction of Mariupol wasn't inevitable. With adequate armor and weaponry, Ukraine could have attacked and broken the siege, with more air power, and with more timely U.S. intelligence, it could have run off the besieging Russian forces.

Russian military vehicles near Mariupol, Ukraine, on April 18, 2022.
Russian military vehicles near Mariupol, Ukraine, on April 18, 2022.

The lesson is that Western policy should be more proactive than reactionary and that it should be more grounded in the military.

If we want the most rapid end to this tragic struggle at the negotiating table, now is the time to tell Putin that he will not win, and that we will provide the means to relieve the siege of Mariupol.

A senior fellow at the UCLA Burkle Center is a former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. Follow him on social media.

You can read opinions from our Board of Contributors and other writers on the Opinion front page, as well as on our daily Opinion newsletter. Comments can be submitted to letters@usatoday.com.

Mariupol shows why NATO needs to help Ukraine.

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