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John Fetterman, left, and Mehmet Oz
Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, left, and Dr. Mehmet Oz. (Photo illustration: Yahoo News; photos: Matt Rourke/AP)

John Fetterman is leading in the polls for the Democratic Party's nomination for an open U.S. Senate seat, while the Republican race has narrowed to an expensive two-person contest.

The retirement of Republican Sen. Pat Toomey has opened up two primaries in which the Democratic Party may be able to gain a seat in the fall. Fetterman is looking to maintain his polling lead through the May 17 primary.

Fetterman's reputation was built after he loudly rebutted claims of election fraud leveled by Republicans. The tall, goateed and tattooed Fetterman has a distinctive look for a would-be senator, standing out in crowds as he campaigns in rural areas where the GOP typically enjoys wide margins of victory.

John Fetterman
Senate candidate John Fetterman speaking with potential voters in Plymouth Meeting, Pa., on Saturday. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call via Getty Images)

Fetterman has been an outspoken supporter of gay and trans rights and flew a pro-trans flag from his office.

The Democratic primary has a moderate who represents a Pittsburgh-area district as his biggest rival. Lamb was trailing Fetterman by 30 points. An ad that called Fetterman a "self-proclaimed democratic socialist" was aired by a super-PAC aligned with Lamb.

Fetterman's ad landed with a thud because it wasn't how Fetterman describes himself, and was criticized by leading Democratic lawmakers like Elizabeth Warren. Fetterman has millions more on hand than Lamb, who had his best quarter to date.

Fetterman has been criticized for skipping the first debate with Lamb and Malcolm Kenyatta, a state legislator also running for the Democratic nomination. Fetterman was knocked for an incident in which he chased down a jogger with a shotgun, as well as Lamb.

Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta and Rep. Conor Lamb
Pennsylvania state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta, left, and Rep. Conor Lamb take part in a forum for Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate in Allentown, Pa., earlier this month. (Matt Rourke/AP)

Fetterman said that he thought he heard gunfire and was unaware of the jogger's race when he chased the man down.

Fetterman is expected to participate in three televised debates ahead of the primary, the first of which will be held on Thursday.

Fetterman said in a March statement that he was proud to have already committed to three.

According to a Franklin & Marshall College Poll released last week, Fetterman has the support of 45% of registered Democrats, compared to Lamb's 22% and Kenyatta's 4%.

The Republican race is far from over, with two candidates leading the rest of the field in both polling and raising money.

Mehmet Oz
Mehmet Oz speaking at a campaign event in York, Pa., in February. (Hannah Beier/Reuters)

A number of former President Donald Trump's staffers have been hired by McCormick, who has painted himself as an "America First" candidate. Sean Parnell, a former congressional candidate who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump before quitting the race over accusations of domestic violence, also supported him.

It wasn't enough to stop Trump from endorsing Oz earlier this month, it was also enough to cause controversy among the ex-president's supporters. In an April 9 statement, Trump claimed that Oz would do well in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, where other candidates will not be accepted.

The Trump endorsement will likely help Oz in his fight against the accusations that he is not conservative enough.

The two wealthy Republican rivals have been attacking each other in TV ads. Through the end of March, Oz and McCormick had spent $18 million of their own money on the race. A super-PAC that received $5 million from a Chicago hedge fund chief has endorsed McCormick.

Dave McCormick, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, meets with attendees during a campaign event at the Round the Clock Diner in York, Pa., Monday, April 4, 2022. (Matt Rourke/AP)
David McCormick, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, at a recent campaign event in York, Pa. (Matt Rourke/AP)

Oz would be the first Muslim senator if he were elected. Oz served in the Turkish military in the 1980s and says he keeps his Turkish citizenship to care for his ailing mother.

The University of Virginia's Center for Politics rates the general election a toss-up.

Pennsylvania has an open governor's race with incumbent Democrat Tom Wolf stepping down due to term limits.

In recent years, the state has seen a number of close results in big races, including the last two presidential races and the reelection of Toomey, all of which were decided by less than 2 points.

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