In his annual letter to shareholders, Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JP Morgan, warned that the situation in Ukraine could cause economic turmoil around the world.

Fortune Global Forum - Day 3

There are risks due to the conflict in Ukraine.

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The war could cost the bank $1 billion over time, but Dimon said that the bank is not worried about its direct exposure to Russia.

It is hard to gauge the overall outcome of the conflict because of the uncertainty surrounding it, but it is already having an impact.

The war will slow the global economy, and it could get worse, warned the CEO.

Russia's GDP is expected to fall by 12% by the middle of the year due to the war and sanctions, according to the bank's economists.

To reduce Europe's dependence on Russian energy exports, the U.S. should create aMarshall Plan.

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The situation could change. Most of the bank's predictions about the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine are based on a static image of the war. Many more sanctions could be added, which could make for a potentially explosive situation.

America must be prepared for the possibility of an extended war in Ukraine.

Key Background

Wall Street banks have already shut down operations in the country because of losses stemming from speaking out against Russian aggression in Ukraine. Major players in pharmaceuticals, tech, energy, transport and food are not alone. Russia and Ukraine are major suppliers of widely used products in energy and agriculture.

What To Watch For

There is an unprecedented confluence of factors. The rebound from the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and high inflation have created an unprecedented situation that differs from any we have experienced before.

As the Fed shifts policy, Jamie Dimon warns of volatile markets.