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Some countries have different timelines than others. South Korea was able to flatten the curve of its coronaviruses outbreak because of a combination of contact tracing, testing, and isolating cases. The number of new cases has grown in many countries. The number of daily new coronaviruses cases has been reduced by countries that started testing early.

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Dresden, Germany, on Wednesday.Sebastian Kahnert/Getty Images
  • Several European countries have seen a surge in cases of COVID-19.

  • It could be easier for the virus to spread in the US if immunity is weakened.

  • Waves in the US and Europe followed the COVID-19 surge.

Some public-health experts in the US expect to see a wave of coronaviruses in the coming weeks because of an Omicron subvariant, according to The Washington Post.

Austria, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and Germany have the highest rates of infections per million people.

graphs from Our World in Data show an increase.

—Eric Topol (@EricTopol) March 12, 2022

The next wave in Europe has begun, he wrote Saturday.

The recent surge in cases and hospitalizations in Europe has been caused by the BA.2 subvariant, according to experts.

Topol wrote that the new subvariant had been enabled by the reversal of restrictions on the spread of the Pandemic.

What we know about the Omicron subvariant BA.2

The new version of the Omicron variant appears to be 1.5 times more infectious than the previous version, but there is no evidence that it causes more severe disease.

BA.2 is harder to track than BA.1. Scientists were able to track the spread of the original Omicron variant by looking for a specific genetic abnormality.

It will take extra genetic analysis for researchers to connect new cases to the Omicron lineage, even though the subvariant will still cause someone to test positive for COVID-19.

Experts brace for the same thing to happen in the US

The spread of BA.2 has been tracked by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but they have not sounded the alarm.

The number of new COVID-19 cases in the US has declined in recent weeks, and the proportion of cases attributed to BA.2 is on the rise. Almost one-quarter of new COVID-19 cases in the US were caused by BA.2 as of Saturday, according to the CDC.

The Northeast is where the subvariant is more prevalent. New York, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands have 39% of the total cases attributed to BA.2.

The US has a lower overall vaccination rate than most of the European countries, according to data from the Johns Hopkins Coronaviruses Resource Center. Germany and the UK have vaccination rates of about 75% and 74%, respectively, while the US has a full vaccination rate of about 66%.

There will be a rise in hospitalizations and deaths from this if you have low vaccination rates among the elderly.

Vaccination rates and restrictions will affect the spread

According to the CDC, most US counties have a low enough level of COVID-19 cases that they can relax mask recommendations.

The agency has made an explicit effort to give people a break from wearing masks indoors as the number of COVID-19 cases has declined.

If the US had a similar outbreak to Europe, the CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said she would put national mask guidelines back in place.

Some experts told The Washington Post that they had already decided to keep their masks because of the CDC's new guidelines.

Why wouldn't it come here? Are we protected enough? I don't know, I'm wearing my mask and I'm the only person indoors.

When people first got vaccine in late 2020, it was still effective at preventing hospitalizations and deaths from COVID-19, but it is not as strong as it is now. The approval of a fourth shot to enhance immunity for adults 65 and older is recommended by vaccine makers, and it is possible we will see an annual COVID-19 booster in the future.

The original article is on Business Insider.

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