Associated PressAssociated Press
FILE - South Korean Navy's patrol ships search for survivors from the sunken South Korean navy ship near South Korea's Baekryeong island, March 29, 2010. South Korea said Tuesday, March 8, 2022, it fired warning shots at a North Korean patrol boat that temporarily crossed the countries' disputed western sea boundary while chasing an unarmed North Korean vessel. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon, File) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Commercial satellite images show a restart of construction activity at the nuclear testing ground in North Korea, nearly four years after leader Kim Jong Un declared the site closed.

It's not clear how long it would take for North Korea to restore the site for nuclear detonations. The sixth and last nuclear test took place at the site in Punggye-ri.

The diplomatic freeze that followed the collapse of the second Kim-Trump meeting in February has seen construction activity at the site.

Nine rounds of missile launches were conducted by North Korea during the pause in talks. The Biden administration has offered open-ended talks but has shown no willingness to concede on sanctions.

Kim presided over a ruling Workers' Party meeting in January where Politburo members denounced what they described as U.S. hostility and issued a veiled threat to resume tests of nuclear explosives and long-range missiles.

Kim is reviving an old style of brinkmanship to extract concessions from Washington and his neighbors as he grapples with a decaying economy crippled by the Pandemic and persisting U.S.-led sanctions.

Jeffrey Lewis and Dave Schmerler at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies reported on the new construction at Punggye-ri.

Satellite photos analyzed by The Associated Press show two new structures built to the south of the site in February and March. The images were taken two days after the Maxar images were used by Lewis and Schmerler.

The analysts said the construction work was the first activity they saw at the site since May of last year, when North Korea invited a group of foreign journalists to observe the destruction of tunnels at the site. North Korea did not invite experts who could certify what had been destroyed.

There are early signs of activity at the new site, including construction of a new building, repair of another building, and possibly some lumber and sawdust. The changes have only happened in the past few days.

The analysts said that this indicates that North Korea has made a decision about the status of the site and that it may be ready to resume nuclear testing.

They wrote that the test site was ready for North Korea to conduct nuclear detonations.

How long it would take for North Korea to resume testing depends on the extent of the damage to the tunnels. It is possible that North Korea will conduct another nuclear test.

Some analysts in South Korea think that North Korea could conduct a nuclear test in the coming months to get the attention of the Biden administration, which has been focused on Russia and China.

There could be a new nuclear test by North Korea this year according to the U.S. intelligence community.

In January, North Korea began laying the groundwork for an increase in tensions that could include (intercontinental missile) or possibly a nuclear test this year.

The weapons North Korea flight-tested this year include a hypersonic missile. Some experts say that North Korea may use another nuclear test to claim that it has the ability to make a small nuclear warhead.

South Korea's presidential office revealed that they are closely monitoring the Punggye-ri site along with other North Korean nuclear and missile facilities.

South Korea's military said it fired warning shots at a North Korean patrol boat that briefly crossed the countries' disputed western sea boundary.

The North Korean patrol boat crossed the Northern Limit Line on Tuesday morning and retreated after a South Korean naval ship fired warning shots.

South Korean military officials seized the North Korean vessel and were questioning its crew.

South Korea's navy often fires warning shots to repel North Korean vessels crossing the poorly marked sea border, but there have been some deadly skirmishes over the years. North Korea denied responsibility for an attack on a South Korean ship that killed 46 sailors in 2010.

The Northern Limit Line was drawn up by the U.N. at the end of the Korean War. North Korea does not recognize the line and insists on a boundary that is deep into the waters of the South.

South Koreans are voting in a presidential election. The bitter campaign has been marked by disagreements between major candidates over whether South Korea should continue pursuing engagement with North Korea or take a harder line to check its nuclear threat.

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