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Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin Alexey Nikolsky/Sputnik/AFP/Getty Images

President Biden, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and many other U.S. officials delivered the same dire message on Thursday.

The New York Times reports that Biden and his top aides acknowledge that they are endangering American credibility by constantly warning that Russian President Putin is about to launch a land war in Europe. They would rather be accused of hyperbole and fearmongering than be proven right.

Russia has maintained it has no plans to invade Ukraine, and Russian journalist Vladimir Pozner told NPR News on Tuesday that the feeling among Russians is that Russia can lose a lot. It would be a kind of thing that Russia cannot bear. Any kind of respect for Russia would be destroyed. There is nothing to win and a lot to lose. There are people who say that is what the West wants.

A Western intelligence official tells The Washington Post that most military indicators are in the red. The Russians are making the casus belli.

Ben Pauker, a national security editor at Politico, says that Putin has enough troops in place to do what he wants to do when he wants to.

Pauker writes that Putin has played the pressure/escalation game many times before in order to extend the sphere of Moscow's influence or just put himself back in the center of the world stage. I think ego is one of the reasons why observers are so worried that he might actually do this.

The former U.S. NATO ambassador suggested that Putin's sated ego could help prevent a Russian invasion. He feels in control.

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