Conference Championship NFL Betting Primer: Best Over/Under, Spread, Teaser and Prop Bets

The former first-round draft pick would display his leadership immediately upon his arrival in the league, and I recognized it awhile ago. This time of year is when Mahomes becomes unstoppable, that's what separates him from the rest of his generation.

When the football calendar flips to the playoffs, look at these numbers: 107.2 passer rating, 3,106 yards, 25 touchdown passes and just five turnovers while completing 66.2 percent of his throws. This would be an excellent regular season for most QBs, yet that was in 10 games.

legacies are etched in the postseason. Tom Brady is universally considered the best quarterback of all time. He is in the process of taking over Brady's record of consecutive Conference Championship appearances.

Given the time of year and where this particular bout will be, how could you anticipate a non-crooked tally on the board from the Chiefs?

In the playoffs, KC is scoring 33.2 points per game, and they light up opposing defenses just whenever they play at Arrowhead. In 38 career games in front of the Chiefs faithful, Mahomes has led his squad to 31.1 points on average.

Only one of the eight home games the Chiefs played in the playoffs saw them not top 30 points. We think 30 points is about the floor for Kansas City, based on how hot Mahomes has been over the last two months.

But what about the team? Going two-for-two cashing unders in their first two playoff contests, one might think they have been more defensive.

While the defense has been good, the offense continues to lead Cincy, as Joe Burrow continues to solidify his standing as one of the best young quarterbacks in recent memory. The second-year sensation has looked the whole campaign. It is more likely than not.

His passer rating was so good that it beat every other quarterback. The LSU product was nearly 10 points higher than the one Mahomes ended up with.

One of the better supporting casts around him should be no question. Joe Mixon is an under-appreciated tailback and the wide receiver trio of Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd are some of the best.

The combination of this has resulted in the team being tied for seventh in points scored each week this season. A few weeks ago, they put up 34 on the Chiefs.

It's not even necessary to have a final total from Cincinnati. That is what we are anticipating from the other side, and so long as the Cincinnati is a quality dance partner, this game will carry enough to go over.

It is appreciated that the weather won't be of the usual harsh variety when football is played in Kansas City. The temperature is expected to be above 40 degrees.

I recommend that you buy a half point to have 54 because I stressed the importance of this number in an early-season game and got a push instead of a loss out of it. Pick over 54.

Best Spread Bet

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Spread: 49ers +3.5/Rams -3.5

Taking the other team in a third encounter during the playoffs isn't the wisest choice when a division rivalry sees one team sweep both regular season games.

There can be an exception with how dominant the Rams have been. They trampled Kyler Murray all evening in the first-ever Monday Night Football playoff game, before taking down Tom Brady last week.

San Francisco has traveled an interesting road, beating two conference powerhouses in their own right, despite a mediocre quarterback.

It has only been two games, but the numbers are still telling how Jimmy Garoppolo injured his thumb and will need surgery in the off-season. He is playing at less than 100 percent, a tough task for anyone about to square off with the dangerous Rams D.

In his previous two performances, Garoppolo barely reached 300 passing yards collectively and registered fewer than seven yards per attempt. I don't think he'll stray far from that output because of his condition.

Matthew Stafford is showing what the world has been missing out on since he was on the sideline. He was able to connect on four touchdown passes with a 10.3 yards per pass attempt. He has a 131.5 passer rating.

I'm willing to bet that we are witnessing long-awaited greatness when he only has to cover a minuscule spread. The x-factor for me is Beckham Jr.

The 29-year-old is finally getting the chance to shine brightest on the sport's biggest stage and he has been making the most of it. Beckham's presence is more fatal for the opposition because Cooper Kupp is drawing the most attention.

I trust that the Rams can keep moving the ball. Garoppolo contributes to a ceiling that can top LA. The hook is something I strongly suggest buying. Pick: RAMS -2

Best Teaser Bet (2-game, 7 points)

Chiefs -7 —> PK

SF-LAR U46 —> U53

When working with the fewest games, teases are the toughest. We will go for one on Championship Sunday.

Let's just hope for a straight-up Chiefs victory, and then back the all-time great QB in his most comfortable setting: Arrowhead Stadium in January.

The tendencies suggest a performance from KC today. Can the team keep up? I don't think they can.

Cincinnati did beat them in the regular season meeting, but there is a significant difference compared to the playoffs. I think this is more of a learning experience for the 2020 No. 1 overall draft pick. Mahomes is 8-2 in the playoffs because he always rolls in these showings.

The second half of Championship Sunday will look at the total rather than the spread. The 49ers-Rams game has an extra touchdown and extra point added to it.

Though LA boasts one of the most complete offenses in pro football, they are about to tangle with a premier defense that just continues to excel, and one that has done a nice job opposite Matthew Stafford. The Niners limited the former Detroit Lion to a measly 78.9 passer rating, easily his lowest mark against any of the fellowNFC West residents this year.

The Rams have an outstanding defensive unit. They will always like their outlook if you put them up against anyone. Put them against an offense that has a starting quarterback who is injured and that increases their odds of a good outing.

The Rams need to prevent any sort of scoring outburst. It looks like a good bet that Jimmy G is playing with an injured thumb. Garoppolo did not fare well in either round.

Best Player Prop Bet

Joe Burrow Over/Under 37.5 Pass Attempts

There is going to be a lot of scoring taking place in Chiefs Kingdom today. We can predict the type of action even if someone wins.

It would require a monumental performance from their starting quarterback if Cincinnati pulls off the monumental upset. If KC wins, that means that they will have to play catch up.

There is a lot of data to suggest why we should look to the Bengals to go to the air. The evidence that sticks out most to me is the fact that in the nine games this year, the Bengal yielded more than 20 points, and Burrow averaged 36.7 passing attempts.

You have to think that Kansas City will surpass that low output of 20 points because of their incredible knack for scoring at home and in the playoffs. No matter what the outcome is, we know the lowest possible amount of throws by Burrow. He will top that. Pick over 37.5 pass attempts.