There is deep uncertainty in the Russia-Ukraine Tensions.
Samir thanks for joining us. It's similar to a chess game here. What's changed in order for us is another thing.
diplomats were asked to send their families home. How credible is the Russian threat?
NATO response be. We are still in deep uncertainty here. We have no.
The US is trying to make as many moves as it can in order to pre-empt what Russia will do.
The Russians might do something to prevent the worst. The Russians could mount a full scale invasion of Ukraine. And.
The families and non-essential embassy staff were withdrawn from the US embassy in Kiev. This is.
It is an important act of signaling. This is the sort of thing that you would do in a war zone.
The war broke out. It's saying that Russia knows what you're going to do. We are signaling to the world.
This is a very tense situation. It's not something Russia can pull off.
If we do get a move in to NATO, could all of this play into their hands in a funny way?
It wouldn't bolster NATO's allies and bring them even deeper into the alliance. Just because.
The threat seems to be much bigger and therefore a Putin own goal.
There is going to be an immense fight over who won, no matter what happens with this crisis.
Who came out stronger. The situation would be as you have described it. NATO says that the alliances pull.
If there is a merge reaction and even if it isn't. How severe is the crisis?
NATO will probably move armed forces into the Baltic states. These are countries. The key.
This is about NATO expansion into new countries. This is Putin. Putin's government is concerned.
The expansion of NATO into Ukraine is being criticized. I would say this.
There's been a proxy war between Russia and the east of Donbass. One would assume that you can't join.
If you have an active war zone inside of your own borders. I don't think there is an active war zone.
It is going to be pacified. It could get worse in the next few weeks. Russia still has that ability.
Even if NATO says it, it's still a veto card against Ukraine's security and its prospects for joining NATO.
We must leave the door open for Ukraine. The chances of Ukraine joining NATO are realistic.
They promised in 2008 that they would join one day.
The wall is wondering what Putin will do next. He has already deployed a hundred thousand troops.
There is a border. He needs to make a move or he will be humiliated.
The troops. The narrative will come out from that.
From London to other places. If Putin never commits additional troops to battle, it will be him.
Russia has been deterred. They prepared their forces. We took sewing strong.
Support for sending weapons to them. He decided not to change his cost cost benefit because of all of this.
The time is 03:42invade. Even if Putin doesn't commit these troops to battle, I still think he will achieve something.
The question of NATO's further expansion is more important than it has ever been. Think about how much it is.
We're having a discussion about this, but a specialist issue of NATO expansion, it's now really interesting.
NATO may still assert its right to expand. We still want, according to the government in Kiev.
Whether NATO expansion makes the alliance and Eastern Europe less secure will become a topic of discussion.
The point was 04:18point. Even if this crisis doesn't unfold in a way that makes Putin happy, he will still be able to say that he's made.
It seems like a clear Russian win. Help us understand what makes Putin tick. I mean.
This is about making Russia great again. You know, borrow that phrase from my Trump.
That's a great question. I was a ceasefire monitor in east Ukraine for the first year.
Conflict in the previous role was 15. I was based in the Donetsk when I was on the ground.
You never knew what was coming next in one of the enclaves. Vladimir Putin is a person.
Highly gifted gambler. There is something about war that involves gambles. It isn't for the faint hearted. And back.
The Russians tried a lot of things that didn't work. Some of them did work. Something that worked.
They were fighting and talking at the same time. Some of your viewers might have heard this.
The term hybrid warfare and cyber attacks is used. Emily Chang. I think it's the traditional high. The government is run by Putin.
Integrating its military and diplomatic strategies is a challenge. No matter how this is done.
We can assume that Putin will be very responsive to a changing world.
If a short notice opportunity presents itself, the situation is very able to make quick gains.
If the gains seem to be less than the costs and losses, draw back.
I don't think we know what's going to happen because of one hallmark of Russian statecraft.
06:20: has been uncertainty.
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