January 3, 2022, Ron Miller@ron_miller
Tyler E Nixon (opens in a new window) is an image.
Who knows what will happen behind the scenes or what will happen next in tech is always a sticky business.
Would you have thought that the company would spend almost $30 billion to buy the company that makes Slack at the end of 2020? In 2021, Jeff Bezos would step back at Amazon with a domino effect of Andy Jassy moving into his role, and Adam Selipsky coming back after a stint at Tableau to take Jassy's old job running Amazon Web Services.
I think most people didn't see that coming. It is hard to keep up with the tech world.
We were not using the terms metaverse and web3 at the time. I would have laughed at you if you told me that Facebook would change its name to Meta or that theBlockchain was going to come back in a big way. Here we are.
I admit that there are things that we can't predict, but I think it's a part of my job to throw out predictions. I would like to think that mine are based on my careful observation of the world I cover in the enterprise, rather than random musings, but if I am being honest, it is probably a combination.
With that in mind, and the usual caveat, here are my predictions for the coming year.
It's difficult to retrofit brittle legacy systems to accept digital currency, so companies will learn that. It is likely that there will be some sort of reckoning to either modernize or let it go for the time being. It is hard to see governments spending money to update systems to accommodate digital currency, which is still in its infancy. According to a recent report, only 16% of Americans have traded, invested or used acryptocurrencies.
Even though the hype is out of control, I think most companies will continue to adopt the technology slowly in the future. There will be some experimentation in areas where it makes sense, but most people will realize they don't want to do their work with virtual reality on their face all day. It costs more to create content.
The next logical step is for Taylor to take over as solo CEO, and for Benioff to take over as chairman, where he can concentrate on his charity work. The face of the company for over 20 years, Benioff may want to step back from that responsibility and enjoy his wealth.
Who knows what will happen behind the scenes or what will happen next in tech is always a sticky business.
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