After about twenty seconds of thoughtful silence in a recent interview about space and advanced transport, Musk delivered his verdict on how long it will take for humans to touch down on Mars.
The worst case is ten years. We need to be a multi-planet species.
The most complex rocket ever built is expected to send humans to Mars safely, according to Musk. Musk has a tendency to overpromise and underdeliver. His electric vehicle manufacturer recalled almost half a million cars this week.
It is possible, but not probable.
Doubters said it couldn't accomplish things. It sends astronauts to the International Space Station frequently. NASA has a lucrative deal with Starship to land its astronauts on the Moon, and has left Earth on several occasions, though it hasn't made it into orbit yet, to be fair.
Musk is not talking about colonizing Mars in ten years. He said that the key to success is to reduce cost and reuse parts, and that throwing away a piece of a rocket increases the cost.
In an interview, Musk said that spaceship could cost $2 million per launch. It's crazy to put over 100 tons in the air. No new physics is required.
Possible? Yes. Probable? The jury is still out. We may have boots on Mars sooner rather than later if Starship keeps raking in NASA cash.
Musk has broken his promises, such as in the crash of his car.
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