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How many quarterbacks will go in the first round of the draft?
Todd McShay isn't projecting any quarterbacks to be among the top 10 picks in the draft, but he believes there is plenty of first-round talent at the position. There is a time and a place for this.
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The updated first-round projections show the Jacksonville Jaguars as the new favorites to have the top pick. The Detroit Lions' upset win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15 gave the 2-12 Jacksonville Jaguars the top spot. The race for the top spot is going to be very close with the Lions now 2-11-1.
The New York Giants and New York Jets are both projected to have two top 10 picks in the draft, and there have already been five trades involving first-round picks. The Philadelphia Eagles are projected to have three picks in the first round, thanks to deals with the Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts. Since injuring his ankle in Week 2, Wentz has played every single snap.
The draft order is projected by the FPI every week. The model's ratings for individual teams and game locations are used to calculate game probabilities. The order is based on the records the model believes the teams will have after 17 games, and the order is based on each team's average draft position in the simulations.
The full 1-32 projection for the NFL draft can be found here.
1. The Jacksonville Jags are 2-12.
The average draft position is 1.8.
There is a chance that the first pick will be by the FPI.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top-five pick.
2. The Detroit Lions are 2-11.
The average draft position is 2.6.
There is a chance that the first pick will be the FPI.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top-five pick.
3. The Houston Texans have a 3-11 record.
The average draft position is 2.7.
There is a chance that the first pick will be the FPI.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top-five pick.
4. The New York Jets are 3-11.
The average draft position is 3.1.
There is a chance that the first pick will be by the FPI.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top-five pick.
5. The Carolina Panther's are 5-9.
The average draft position is 6.4.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn the No. 1 pick.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top-five pick.
6. The New York Giants have a losing record.
The average draft position is 6.4.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top-five pick.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
7. The New York Giants are a team.
The average draft position is 6.5.
The chance of earning a top-five pick is 34.7%.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
8. The Atlanta Falcons have a losing record.
The average draft position is 9.0.
There is a chance of earning a top-five pick.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top 10 pick.
9. The New York Jets are from the Southeast.
The average draft position is 10.
There is a chance of earning a top-five pick.
There is a chance that the FPI will earn a top 10 pick.
10. The Washington football team is.
The average draft position is 12.2.
There is a chance of earning a top-five pick.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
11. The Philadelphia Eagles are in the MIA.
The average draft position is 12.3.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
12. The Las Vegas Raiders are.
The average draft position is 12.5.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
13. The Broncos are 7-7
The average draft position is 13.9%.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
14. The Minnesota Vikings have a losing record.
The average draft position is 14.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
15. The Philadelphia Eagles have a losing record.
The average draft position is 15.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
16. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 7-13-1.
The average draft position is 15.8
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
17. The Cleveland Browns are 4-7.
The average draft position is 18.3.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
18. The New Orleans Saints are 7-7
The average draft position is 18.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
19. The Cincinnati team is 8-6).
The average draft position is 19.0.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
20. The Baltimore Ravens are 8-6.
The average draft position is 21.1.
There is a chance that the FPI could earn a top 10 pick.
21. The Miami Dolphins defeated the San Francisco 49ers 8-6.
The average draft position is 21.9.
22. The Philadelphia Eagles lost to the Indianapolis Colts.
The average draft position is 22.0.
24. The Los Angeles Chargers are 8-6)
The average draft position is 22.1.
24. The Buffalo Bills are 8-6.
The average draft position is 24.3%.
25. The TennesseeTitans are 9-5.
The average draft position is 24.8%.
26. The Detroit Lions are 9-4
The average draft position is 25.5.
27. The New England team is 9-5.
The average draft position is 26.0.
28. The ArizonaCardinals (10-4) are doing well.
The average draft position is 26.3.
29. The Dallas Cowboys are 10-4.
The average draft position is 27.1.
30. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are doing well.
The average draft position is 28.1%.
31. The Kansas City Chiefs are doing well.
The average draft position is 28.6.
32. The Green Bay Packers are 11-3).
The average draft position is 29.2.
