Week 15 standings, bracket, clinching scenarios and outlook for the postseason



Play.

Rodgers ties the Packers' all-time touchdown record with this throw.

This dart ties the record for most passing touchdown in Packers history by Rodgers. (0:22)

The time is 11:20 PM.

Applause! We finally have a genuine playoff team despite the wide open nature of the playoffs. The Packers secured a spot in the playoffs on Sunday, and also the North title. No other team has hit their scenarios in a turn of events that fits the theme of the season.

Only four teams are officially eliminated from the playoffs, and 13 of the 14 spots remain open. The loss at home Sunday night by the Buccaneers stymied their own immediate chances, as well as those of the Cowboys and Cardinals. There are still four games left in Week 15, but there will be no winner in the race for the playoffs.

The final three weeks of the season are going to be very entertaining. Four teams are currently in a playoff spot or within one game of it. We looked at the playoff picture based on the Football Power Index and our own instincts. We will post updates on Monday and Tuesday nights.

A team that has secured a first-round bye is indicated by the letters X and Y.

Go to:AFC

A group of people.

1. The Kansas City Chiefs are doing well.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

The chances of the FPI winning the division are 98%.

Thanks to their win over the Bolts, the Chiefs will finish the season atop the AFC. The Chiefs have won seven games in a row and are getting better results than any other team in the league. They can win the division with a win over the Steelers and a loss by the Texans, and they don't have to worry about losing the head-to-head tie with the Bolts. They have a good chance of getting the first-round bye.

Next up is the Steelers.

2. The New England team is 9-5.

98% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

Saturday night's loss to the Colts snapped the Pats' seven-game winning streak, dropped them from the top of the AFC and scuttled their chances of making the playoffs. The Bills' win over the Carolinas set up a huge game in Week 16. The winner of the game will take control of the division. It won't be a true title game because neither team can win it on their own. If the Dolphins lose to the Saints, the Pats will be able to seal the deal.

Next up is the Bills.

3. The TennesseeTitans are 9-5.

There is a good chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

The weekend was a huge swing for the TITANS. If they had won in Pittsburgh, they would have had a chance to win home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Tennessee will finish at the bottom of the rankings because the Chiefs and the Pats are in better positions. The chance to win the division was delayed by Sunday's loss. They're still prohibitive favorites to win the South, but it didn't happen in Week 15. They could wrap it up in Week 16 with a win over the 49ers and a Colts loss to the Cards.

The next game is against the 49ers.

4. The Cincinnati team is 8-6).

There are a lot of chances for the FPI to make the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

Look what we have here. The Ravens' loss to the Packers gave the Packers the top spot in the division, and then the Bengals snapped their two-game losing streak with a win in Denver. The teams will meet in Week 16 despite the fact that the Ravens have a head-to-head advantage. Both teams will be trying to win the division title with a win. The permanent head-to-head tiebreaker would make the win/loss column look a little different if the Bengals win. If they win their remaining games, they'll win the North.

The next game is against the Ravens.

5. The Indianapolis Colts are 8-6.

80% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

9% of the time, the FPI has a chance to win the division.

Both qualitatively and quantitatively, the Colts pulled off a huge win Saturday night. The Colts are still in the race despite the loss of theTitans. At this point, the Colts are not out of the running for a division title, but they are still a long shot. The Colts should be riding high. The Colts' playoff chances would have been reduced to 42% if they had lost Saturday. They have an 80% chance of getting in and jumping the Bolts in the rankings.

Next stop: at the Cards.

6. The Los Angeles Chargers are 8-6)

There are a lot of chances for the FPI to make the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Bolts lost the biggest game they've played in years on Thursday night, but they're in a good position to make the playoffs. It would be their second trip to the playoffs in the past eight years. They had a chance to overtake the Chiefs in the AFC West, but it will require help from a team with experience in closing out playoff positions in the past.

Next stop: at Texans.

7. The Buffalo Bills are 8-6.

There is an 83% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

Thanks to the Ravens' loss to the Packers, the Bills were able to stay in the top seven. The Bills and Ravens have a common-games tie. The Bills have a chance to make the playoffs and take over the lead in the division if they beat the Pats in Week 16. If you had told the Bills a few weeks ago that they would have a chance to regain the lead in late December, they would have considered themselves fortunate. If they win their remaining games, they'll win the division.

Next stop: at the team.

Play.

In the second quarter, Josh Allen passes the ball to Stefon Diggs, who catches it and runs for a Bills touchdown.

In the hunt for the football team.

The Baltimore Ravens are 8-6.

John Harbaugh has decided to go for a game-winning 2-point play twice in the past three weeks rather than take his chances in overtime because the Ravens are so decimated by injuries. They are on a three-game losing streak and have lost both games. The Ravens will have a chance to turn it around in Week 16 at the Bengals, but they only have a small chance of making the playoffs, and their division title odds have plummeted.

The Cleveland Browns are 4-7.

The Raiders were one of the worst-hit teams from last week's surge, so the game was moved from Saturday to Monday. They were without their coach and their top two quarterbacks as of Sunday night. We will see how many players they can get back. If they can win their remaining games, the Browns will win the division. They have a 34% chance to make the playoffs and a 25% chance to win the division.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 7-13-1.

The level of difficulty is going to go up even more for the Steelers after their win over theTitans on Sunday. The hottest team in football is not the kind of game they want to play in Week 16. Pittsburgh has an 18% chance of making it to the playoffs.

The Miami Dolphins are 7-7

The Dolphins got into this conversation. After a seven-game losing streak, they have won six in a row and have a winnable game in Week 16 against the Saints. The chances of them making the playoffs are still minuscule, but they exist.

The Broncos are 7-7

The Broncos' chances of making the playoffs dropped to 8% after Sunday's loss. They have a winnable game in Week 16 at the Raiders, but with quarterback Teddy Bridgewater likely out with a concussion, their postseason outlook is bleak.

The Las Vegas Raiders are.

The Raiders' playoff chances would increase from 5% to 12% if they beat the Cleveland Browns on Tuesday. There are a dozen teams ahead of them, but the close nature of the race makes their inclusion here justified.

The NFC is a part of the game.

1. The Green Bay Packers are 11-3).

The chances to make the playoffs were slim.

The chances to win the division are still alive.

The Packers secured the first playoff spot in franchise history on Sunday with a win in Baltimore. They're currently 19-3 at Lambeau Field in three seasons under coach Matt LaFleur, and they'll look to win home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Their last two games are at home. It's no wonder that they're given a chance to win the No. 1 seed.

Next up: Cleveland.

2. The Dallas Cowboys are 10-4.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Cowboys have won three in a row after losing three of four. Thanks to a better conference record, the Cowboys have moved ahead of the other two teams in the conference. They can win the division in Week 16 with a victory over Washington. Even if they lose to Washington, there is still a path to the division title next week. If the Eagles lose to the Washington on Tuesday and the Giants lose to the Cowboys in Week 16, the Cowboys will win the strength-of-victory tiebreaker over the Eagles.

Next up is Washington.

3. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are doing well.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will win the division.

With a win over the Saints, the Buccaneers could have sewed up a playoff spot. They lost to the team that has been proven to be the biggest obstacle to Tom Brady's career. The Cowboys have overtaken the Buccaneers for the time being, so they will have to wait at least one more week to get into the playoffs. The good news is that the Saints won't have to play the Buccaneers again, at least in the regular season. How will the injuries suffered by Mike Evans and Chris Godwin affect the long-term competitiveness of the Buccaneers?

Next stop: at the Carolinas.

4. The ArizonaCardinals (10-4) are doing well.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There are a lot of chances for the FPI to win the division.

The team is going in the wrong direction. Their third loss in five games was on Sunday in Detroit. They've plummeted as far as they could, but they're still in the lead. Assuming they can get themselves back on track, the damage isn't as bad as it could be. Even with a loss, the Cards still had a chance to make the playoffs, but they didn't. One scenario is still alive for the West in Week 16. If the Rams lose Tuesday to Seattle and then again in Week 16 to Minnesota, the Cards will need to beat the Colts.

Next up: Colts.

5. The Los Angeles Rams are 9-4.

98% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

There is a 28% chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Rams' game against the Seahawks was moved to Tuesday to allow them to get some of the players who tested positive back. They've already returned a player. Six players on Sunday tested positive for a banned substance, as the Seahawks have begun losing players to positive tests. The Rams could be in the NFC West if the Cards' downturn continues. L.A. would be out of a game with three left to play if the Seahawks win. The Rams have a 28% chance of overtaking the Cards, according to the FPI.

The next game is against the Seahawks on Tuesday.

6. San Francisco 49ers are doing well.

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 89%.

There is a 1% chance that the FPI will win the division.

The 49ers have won five of their past six games and are in a good position to make the playoffs. The FPI has their chances at 89%. Their remaining schedule is difficult, with games at the Rams and the Texans. The real question is if there are two teams that will overtake them. The chances are not high.

Next stop: at the Titans.

Play.

Kyle Juszczyk, Deebo Samuel and Jeff Wilson Jr. all score on the ground as the 49ers take down the Falcons.

7. The New Orleans Saints are 7-7

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 24%.

There is a 1% chance that the FPI will win the division.

If the Vikings win at Chicago on Monday night, the Saints will be overtaken by them in the playoff picture. It's worth noting that the Saints don't have another game scheduled against a team that currently has a winning record, even though they secured a huge victory that will help them in a plethora of tiebreakers.

Next up is the Dolphins.

In the hunt for the nearest store.

The Washington football team is.

Washington is hoping to get some of its key players off the list before it plays the Eagles on Tuesday. There are multiple quarterbacks, including starter Taylor Heinicke and backup Kyle Allen. We will see if that makes a difference. According to the FPI, Washington has a 15% chance of making the playoffs.

The Minnesota Vikings have a losing record.

If the Vikings beat the Bears on Monday night, they'll move up to the 7 spot, and if the Eagles beat the Washington on Tuesday, they'll stay there. Although the Vikings currently hold the common-games tie-breaker over the Eagles, the Eagles have a better chance to move up and win the No. 7 spot.

The Philadelphia Eagles have a losing record.

The delay in playing Washington will probably affect the personnel advantage the Eagles would have had. The Eagles will have to play the Giants five days later in Week 16 because of the schedule change. They have a 39% chance of making the playoffs.