Week 11 standings, bracket, scenarios and outlook for the postseason



Play.

In the 1st half, McCoy and Ertz connect for 2 scores.

In the first quarter, Colt McCoy connected with Zach Ertz for a short touchdown, and later in the second quarter, he found him again for another score, as the Cards took a 13-6 lead over the Seahawks. (0:51)

The time is 11:40 PM.

Chaos, confusion and pandemonium are what we're starting off with. It feels right to say that there are no great teams in the NFL. There are some good teams. There are many questionable teams. Some teams are really bad. There are no great teams.

For the next seven weeks, we'll have the job of making that structure into a playoff bracket that makes sense. We'll combine the teams' records, the power index, and what our eyeballs tell us to stack them on a weekly basis. Week 11 showed how a lot of teams in the middle can cause weekly volatility. A few of us wondered if the Pats weren't the favorite to win the AFC after they leapfrogged the Bills. Five teams will win the weekend, followed by another five that are either 5-5 or 6-7.

We don't know anything. Everything we know now could change by the time the NFL plays its final regular-season game. Thanks to the new 17-game schedule, this season is an extra week long. On with it.

Go to:AFC

A group of people.

1. The TennesseeTitans (8-3) are doing well.

98% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

The chances of the FPI winning the division are 98%.

Despite facing the most difficult schedule in the league, the TennesseeTitans won seven of their first nine games. They suffered a stunning home loss to the Texans on Sunday.

The Colts have narrowed the gap in the AFC South to two games with six to play. Tennessee won both head-to-head battles. The Texans and Jets have a combined record of 4-16, so it's not clear if the Colts can catch them. The hottest team in the league will be waiting for them in Week 12.

Next stop: at the team.

2. The Baltimore Ravens are 7-1.

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 84%.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Ravens woke up to the news on Sunday that Lamar Jackson would not be available for the game against the Bears due to an illness. At the end of the day, they were still in first place in the AFC North. The Bears might have helped them. At Playoff Picture headquarters, we're more concerned about what happened than why.

The Ravens have lost to the Dolphins and the Bengals in the past month, and have also won an overtime game against the Vikings. Maybe that's how it's going to be for them.

Next up: Cleveland.

3. New England is 7-1.

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 86%.

42% of the time, the FPI has a chance to win division.

It took the Bills less than two months to recover from their 1-3 start. They have won five in a row and six in a row to give them a division advantage and put them within range of the top seed. It's all in front of them.

Next month, the Bills will play two games in a three-game stretch, while the Pats will play one game in a two-game stretch. It's hard to see how the New England is the best team in the AFC right now.

Next up is the Titans.

4. The Kansas City Chiefs are 7-4

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 82%.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

It's hard to say which way to react to the victory. They have won four in a row, a streak that has brought them from below.500 to the top of the AFC West. It wasn't as good as the one they had against the Raiders, a point in which many NFL observers declared the Chiefs "back."

Even if they are not, the Chiefs will be among the seven teams representing the AFC in the playoffs, and more likely than not, they will be the AFC West champion.

Next up is the Broncos.

Play.

In the first quarter, Kelce scored his second career rushing touchdown.

5. The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-6.

45% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

18% of the time, the FPI will win the division.

There was a time when a lot of people were worried about the health of the quarterback. We can say that the concern was not true through 10 games. When the season began, it didn't seem like he would make it through 10 games, but he has the offense humming, most recently with a 32-point performance against the Raiders.

In the wide-open AFC, the Bengals have put themselves in a good position to make the playoffs.

Next up is the Steelers.

6. The Los Angeles Chargers are 3-6.

There are a lot of chances that the FPI will make the playoffs.

42% of the time, the FPI has a chance to win division.

The Bolts did everything they could to fall out of the top seven in the league on Sunday night. The biggest sign that they are turning a corner is that they stopped doing things for long enough to get back in the game. The defense went out and closed the game.

In Week 11 of the season, the Bolts showed that they are serious about the playoffs.

Next stop: at Broncos.

7. The Buffalo Bills are 3-6.

The chances of the FPI making the playoffs are 81%.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Bills were a preseason favorite to win the Super Bowl, but have lost their last five games. One of the worst losses for a playoff contender this season was their Week 9 defeat at the Jags.

The 26 point home loss to the Colts on Sunday, in which Buffalo allowed five touchdown to running back Jonathan Taylor, was a blow to a team that has prided itself on playing physical run defense. The Bills allowed an average of 83 rushing yards per game, but they gave up the most rushing yards of the season to the Colts. The Bills have a chance of making the playoffs, but we all have a right to be a bit concerned about what has happened in the past few weeks.

Next stop: at Saints.

In the hunt for the football team.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-5.

In the past two weeks, the Pittsburgh Steelers have lost to the Los Angeles Clippers and the Lions and tied the Lions. In Week 12 of the season, the Steelers will have a 23% chance to make the playoffs, and it will be difficult to make it in Cincinnati.

Here's how the playoffs looks at the moment and what might happen in the future.

Who is currently in the playoffs?

The Football Power Index is a measure of standings.

The Indianapolis Colts are 5-5.

The Colts have won three games in a row and five of their past six, but prior to Sunday, the quality of the teams they beat wasn't very impressive. The victory at Buffalo changed that. The Colts have a good chance of making the playoffs with a 56% chance. The next test is the Buccaneers.

The Cleveland Browns have a losing record.

It's amazing that the Cleveland Browns have won six games despite the fact that quarterback Baker Mayfield's left shoulder injury is having on his performance. If you're going to pick a team to fall out of the playoffs due to exhaustion, it's the Cleveland Browns. They have a one in three chance of making the playoffs. They are going to Baltimore on a road trip.

The Las Vegas Raiders are 5-5)

The Raiders' slide following the departure of Jon Gruden appears to be in full swing. They lost three in a row but are back to.500 after a fast start with a game on the road against Dallas. Las Vegas has a 9% chance of making the playoffs.

The Denver Broncos are 5-5)

The Broncos will return from their bye with a.500 record, but they will likely be knocked out of the wild-card race if they play the Chargers and Chiefs in consecutive games. They have a small chance of making the playoffs, according to projections.

The NFC is a part of the game.

1. The Arizona Cardinals are 9-2

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a chance that the FPI will win the division.

Since their last-minute loss to the Packers in Week 8, the Cards have traveled quite a journey. They have gone 2-1 with wins over San Francisco and Seattle, despite not having quarterback Kyler Murray or wide receiver DeAndreHopkins. The Packers' loss in Minnesota allowed the Cards to take over the top spot.

The Cards are the fourth team in the history of the league to start a season with a perfect record on the road, and they will get their quarterback back sooner than later. They are a virtual lock to make the playoffs and have a good chance to win the West.

Next stop: at Bears.

2. The Green Bay Packers are 8-3.

There is a 99% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

There is a 92 percent chance that the FPI will win the division.

The Packers with Rodgers are a legitimate Super Bowl contender. What should we say about a Packers team that is losing key players to injury on a weekly basis? Rodgers is hobbled by a toe injury that he suffered while in isolation after being diagnosed with COVID-19.

The Packers are in a good position in the division, leading the Vikings by 212 games, with a Week 17 game against Minnesota looming. The Packers' depth is going to be tested in December.

Next up is the Rams.

Play.

The Packers quarterback takes the snap and throws a touchdown pass to Davante Adams.

3. The Dallas Cowboys are 7-1.

There is a good chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

The chances of the FPI winning the division are 90 percent.

The Cowboys have lost two of their past three games after a 6-1 start, including a 14-point home loss to the Broncos and a 10-point road loss to the Chiefs. The losses are not as bad as two losses could be. They won't affect the seeding of the conference or the division.

There isn't a challenger surging in their direction yet because of the weakNFC East. They have a 90 percent chance of winning the division.

Next up: Raiders.

4. The Buccaneers are 6-3.

There is a good chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

The chances of FPI winning the division are 89%.

The Super Bowl champion is hoping to end a two-game losing streak on Monday. They're fortunate to be hosting a Giants team that has an average of 18.9 points per game. The Buccaneers won't move out of the fourth spot in the division if they win or lose.

Next up is the Giants.

5. The Los Angeles Rams have a winning record.

There is a 98% chance that the FPI will make the playoffs.

8% of the time, the FPI will win the division.

The "all-in" Rams have fallen from the top spot in theNFC to the wild-card picture with two consecutive losses. The bye came at a good time for the Rams. They have two weeks to get Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. more acclimatized to their program, as well as figuring out why Matthew Stafford has thrown four picks during the two-game skid.

Their upcoming schedule includes not only the Packers, but also the Vikings, Vikings, Ravens, and 49ers. It will be a tough run.

Next stop: at Packers.

6. The Minnesota Vikings are 5-5.

There are chances that the FPI will make the playoffs.

8% of the time, the FPI will win the division.

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The math says you should at least win some of the close games you play. The Vikings' victory over the Packers boosted their division and conference records. The reason they are ahead of the Saints and 49ers in the playoffs is because of their 4-2 record in theNFC.

The Vikings have played in seven games in a row that have been decided by seven or fewer points, a stretch that either hardened them for a playoff run or will cost them entry into the playoffs altogether.

Next stop: at 49ers.

7. The New Orleans Saints have a losing record.

42% of the time, the FPI makes the playoffs.

9% of the time, the FPI has a chance to win the division.

The Saints don't look like a playoff team at the moment. They've lost three games in a row since quarterback Jameis Winston's season-ending knee injury, and Sunday's 40-29 loss to the Eagles was the worst yet.

There is hope for stabilization if tailback Alvin Kamara can return to the field soon. He missed two of the three losses. The Saints are in the middle of the pack. The 49ers have a strength of victory. The Saints will be on the field Thursday.

Next up is the Bills.

In the hunt for the nearest store.

The 49ers are 5-5)

The 49ers have won three of their past four games, which is good news for them as they try to overtake the Saints for a better spot in the playoffs. The 49ers have a better chance of making it to the playoffs at the moment than the Saints, Eagles, or the Carolinas. Minnesota is on the way to San Francisco.

The Philadelphia Eagles have a poor record.

The Eagles have won three of their past four by at least 10 points. They have a 39% chance to make the playoffs, but if you look at the schedule, you can see that they have a good chance of making the playoffs. The Giants will be in Philadelphia next week.

The Carolina panthers are 5-5.

Can the Carolinas really be a playoff contender with a quarterback they signed out of free agency and inserted into the starting lineup within two weeks? The man is not a magician, but he is Superman. Carolina has an 8% chance of making the playoffs and will travel to play the Dolphins next.

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