Betting Guide for Capital One's The Match: Brady-Phil vs. Rodgers-DeChambeau

Steven Senne/Associated PressCapital One's The Match 4 features Green Bay Packers MVP Aaron Rodgers, 2020 U.S. Open winner Bryson deChambeau and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl MVP signal-caller Tom Brady. Phil Mickelson is a six-time major winner.You can make the show even more entertaining by tuning in Tuesday at 5:05 p.m. ET on TNT to see what's sure be a lively show at The Reserve of Moonlight Basin, Big Sky, Montana.Here's a look at what DraftKings offers from a betting perspective.Chances of winningDeChambeau/Rodgers -182Mickelson/Brady - +135DeChambeau/Rodgers should definitely be preferred. DeChambeau is ranked sixth in the world's official golf rankings, while Mickelson, 51, ranks 31st. Rodgers is considered to be a better amateur golfer that Brady. The Jack Nicklaus-designed course may give Rodgers an advantage over Brady. It measures in at 8,000 yards and is home to one of the longest holes on the course. DeChambeau, the longest driver on tour, is at 8,000 feet.John Minchillo/Associated PressWith this in mind, -182 isn't bad and +135 may not be enough to make you want to take the underdogs. Despite that, Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning defeated the Mickelson/Brady duo in last year's final, so those legendary winners will be determined to avoid another loss.It is not easy to bet against Tom Brady.Hole 1 winnerDeChambeau/Rodgers -125Mickelson/Brady : -106If you don't think anyone will be ahead of you on the first hole you have better odds for DeChambeau/Rodgers (-137) or Mickelson/Brady (+105).Carlos Osorio/Associated PressThe first hole is a wide-open par 4, which is not difficult or intimidating. It's also the No. It's the No. 9 handicap hole, so a half seems strong.On the other hand, nerves could cause someone to explode right out of the gate. DeChambeau and Rodgers have never done this before. DeChambeau might not be able to get a big advantage on a par four of medium length with a dogleg. This is a tempting proposition.The first to go 2 upDeChambeau/Rodgers -159Mickelson/Brady - +115If you believe it will be close, you can get slightly lower odds (-137, +105, respectively). This is an opportunity to make some cash on Mickelson/Brady if you are able to get in on the experienced pair shocking the novices early.Tony Avelar/Associated PressDeChambeau/Rodgers are worth not hitting here as they have similar odds of winning outright. It's also harder to see them going up early or collapsing later, when there are three late par fives.The natural arc, in fact, is a Mickelson/Brady lead with a charge by DeChambeau/Rodgers at the back nine.After X holes, lead3 holesDeChambeau/Rodgers : -134Mickelson/Brady - +1006 holesDeChambeau/Rodgers : -137Mickelson/Brady - +1059 holesDeChambeau/Rodgers -150Mickelson/Brady - +11012 holesDeChambeau/Rodgers -159Mickelson/Brady - +11515 holesDeChambeau/Rodgers -175Mickelson/Brady - +130This is very interesting. These three holes aren't difficult relative to the rest, so Mickelson/Brady can easily take advantage of their experience. Par threes may even be a favorable option for that duo. The third hole is the second-shortest on the course.Tony Avelar/Associated PressThe match could swing towards the faves at the par-five sixth hole, the No. 3. Handicap hole. DeChambeau is the better player, but Brady could have trouble there if he's not the most skilled. It's possible that the favored pair will win, so I would not hesitate to take good odds on Mickelson/Brady up until the end.This is probably why the odds of success in this range change so dramatically.The longest tee shot (available holes 1, 6, and 8)DeChambeau : -200Mickelson: +140DeChambeau drives an average of 322.4 yards per drive while Mickelson takes 302.6. You should stick with the sixth or eighth tee if you want to swing with Phil. DeChambeau is more likely than Mickelson to get into trouble from those tees.Another strategy is to hedge with DeChambeau at the wide-open first Tee and then roll the dice for Mickelson later. Although neither player is more accurate off the green than the other, Lefty is the vet so it's easy to see DeChambeau getting excited and making mistakes under prime-time conditions.Can a quarterback hit hole X's fairway?1.Yes, -305No: +21010th holeYes, -250No: +175According to Forbes, Brady is a 8.1 handicap and Rodgers a 4.6. However, Rodgers claims that Brady is better than that. It doesn't matter if either of them is a sandbagger or not, they won't both miss the fairway.The +210 first-tee "No", which is the smallest, is still tempting. This is because amateurs could have different nerves. These odds are magnified by the fact it's a fairway. The 10th hole is more intimidating off the tee.You can reach crisis counseling and referral services by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1 800 426-2537).Gambling problems? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9–WITH-IT(IN), 1-800-522-4700, 1-800-BETS OFF? (IA), 1-800-522-4700 or text the TNREDLINE: 800889-9789 (TN).21+ NJ/PA/WV/IN/IA/CO/IL/TN Meadows Racetrack & Casino in partnership There are some restrictions on eligibility. For more information, please visit