Vin Diesel and John Cena appear in "F9" UniversalF9 was the top domestic box office earner on Tuesday with $6.51 million. This is a 1% decrease from F9's Monday earnings of $6.59million, which itself was a 63% drop on Sunday's $17.835million. I was surprised to see the Vin Diesel vs. John Cena movie not take a leap on Tuesday. I used to talk about cheap ticket Tuesdays in the past. Films would take an expected Sunday to Monday plunge (as children and/or adults returned to school) and then jump slightly on Tuesday because theaters and chains offer discounts and bargains on the second weekday.This didn't happen here. Fast & Furious Presents - Hobbs & Shaw saw a 45% jump on Tuesday ($8.5 million), for a $74million five-day total. Jurassic World's Fallen Kingdom saw a 24% jump ($18.4million) on the same day, June 2018. This was for a $181 million five-day total. Fate of the Furious began with $99 million in April 2017 and then made $8.5 million the following day (-60% the day after Easter), and $8.15million the following week (-4%) because most children in public schools were on spring break. This is normal for Easter biggies like Godzilla Vs. Kong or Batman v Superman. This is less common for middle-of June blockbusters.Toy Story 4 saw a 45% jump on its fifth day, in June 2019. World War Z opened in 2013 with $66 million. It then fell 58% on Monday, and rose only 4% on Tuesday. F9 pulled 2.28x and 2.5x multipliers respectively, so it is not unreasonable to expect F9 to be very leggy. This could be contrary to the results of A Quiet Place part II which saw scorching weekday holds but only a 59% drop in second-weekend gross. F9 would see a $6 million drop in second-weekend sales and a ten-day total of $115 million to $28 million.Oh, and regardless of how F9 does this weekend, Universal will almost certainly be the number one box office spot over the Fourth of July weekend. The Forever Purge, along with the theatrical and Peacock release The Boss Baby: Family Business, opened in theaters on Friday. We pray that at most one theater does not play the wrong movie for the wrong people, or accidentally plays the trailer of Halloween Kills prior to The Boss Baby 2. In these difficult times, I expect so little. This will be the first studio to hoard the top three spots since February 2005, barring any fluke.You may remember that Sonys Hitch opened on Saturday, April 1, 2005. It saw Will Smith's romantic comedy win a $43.5million debut. Weekend two of Boogeyman, the original horror film, and weekend three of Ice Cubes family comedy, Are We There Yet? followed. It is a bit disappointing that we have three originals from the same studio, two of which were old-school star+concept hit-makers, despite their quality. Universal will be releasing three sequels to the film, even though two of them are for cinema-first franchises. But a win is still a win.We'll see how F9 plays out. The relative good legs of A Quiet Place part II and The Croods : A New Age, as well as Godzilla Vs. Kong suggest that the entire PVOD in 31 Days for F9 variable won't have a significant impact on the domestic box office. The biggies aren't likely to see their domestic numbers drop due to shattered windows or concurrent release strategies. F9 could reach $160 million domestically by the end of 2019, while Black Widow may do whatever it wanted to in May 2020.
