The four Level II violations are not very serious. The precedent for punishment is small. The University of Virginia was reprimanded for a Level II recruitment violation. The infraction was centered around the assistant coaches taking pictures with prospects. Virginia was fined only $5,000 and was ordered to reduce off-campus contacts from six to four and from 168 to 150. Extra rules education was given to Virginia staff after they got caught speeding.
The Level II violations outline contact with two prospective athletes during the COVID-19 dead period as well as a self-reported violation for improper use of an analyst. These are not major violations.
The NCAA takes level I violations very seriously and can impose a variety of punishments. Collective Level II violations can be considered Level I violations. After Michigan received the Notice of Allegations, it is unlikely that they will suffer a second Level I violation, but that is still a possibility.
Harbaugh is accused of giving false or misleading information to NCAA investigators looking into one of the Level II violations. The university wouldn't have faced serious repercussions if Harbaugh had just complied with the investigation.
A 1-2 year ban is acceptable for a Level I violation. An elevated Level I violation can result in a ban of up to four years. Do you think a violation isgravated? One of the factors is whether or not the accused party did not cooperate with the investigation. Lying to investigators seems to fall under that category.
The university imposed a one year ban. It was decided that a one-year ban was enough. The damage was mitigated by the reduction of available scholarships and a two week ban on official men's basketball prospect visits. Similar recruitment restrictions as well as a postseason ban or suspension are likely on the table, even though we can't be certain of the Michigan punishments.
Harbaugh would be thrown out of Michigan if he was found guilty of this violation. He can be fired if he commits a Level I or II infraction.
After his second trip to the College Football Playoff, Harbaugh wants to come back to Michigan. Harbaugh wouldn't have accepted an NFL job if it weren't for a Level 1 violation. Harbaugh would accept an NFL job if it was offered to him, according to reports.
It's possible that a Level I violation won't be a deal-breaker for Michigan if he wants to stay. It is not likely that Harbaugh will be hit with a show-cause penalty. Michigan probably wouldn't fire Harbaugh if that happened.