According to the UK's Met Office weather service, there will be hotter years in the future. What's the reason? An unusual three-year-long weather pattern that usually has a cooling effect on our planet should end next year. Global average temperatures are expected to go up as greenhouse gas emissions go up.
The Met Office predicts that the year will be one of the hottest on record. The last eight years are on track to be the hottest on record according to the World Meteorological Organization.
The year will be one of the hottest on record.
Global average temperatures are expected to be at least 1 degree Celsius higher than the average during the preindustrial period next year. When humans started burning fossil fuels more ferociously, the earth's average temperature was between 1.08 and 1.32 degrees Celsius higher.
As much of the US emerges from a cold winter storm, it might not seem like much. Climate effects have already been caused by that kind of change. Some regions have been hit harder by climate change than others.
There have been several dramatic weather disasters this year which claimed far too many lives and undermined health, food, energy and water security. Major economic losses and human casualties were caused by the floods. There have been record breaking heat waves in China, Europe, North and South America. There is a humanitarian catastrophe in the Horn of Africa due to the long- lasting dry spell.
Climate change and a La Nia weather pattern have made life difficult for the Horn of Africa. La Nia has been in play for over a year. The impact of La Nia is different from region to region. It has a short-term cooling effect on the globe. The La Nia will most likely end by April next year after three winters.
La Nia is an extreme phase of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation. Extreme La Nia and El Nio events are more likely to occur with higher global temperatures. If humans are able to limit global warming to less than 1.5 degrees Celsius, there is a chance of avoiding that risky outcome. We don't have much wiggle room left according to the global forecast.