Covid-19 outpatient treatments used to be dominated byonoclonal antibodies. Since they first became available in 2020, more than 3.5 million patients in the U.S. have received the injections to help reduce the risk of hospital stays.

Different treatments have lost their effectiveness against the coronaviruses. The rise of Paxlovid made them less appealing.

The immune system's current defenses are expected to be knocked out by a new wave of omicron subvariants. The graveyard of monoclonals that once targeted past COVID strains will soon be joined by it.

The director of the Division of AIDS at the National Institutes of Health says thatonoclonals had their day, like the Model T or the biplane.

Some people don't agree. Doctors sayonoclonals are still useful.

Even if you treat a patient with antiviral drugs, they are not likely to mount an immune response. The group that will be most affected by the absence of antibody-based therapies is this one.

New research is being done to develop new types of antibodies that can hold up against new variations.

How monoclonals work — and what they're up against

New COVID strains are easily outmaneuvered byonoclonal antibodies, which have always had a major weakness. The flaw is baked into the way they work.

Most people are naturally producingonoclonal antibodies to hunt for threats all the time.

"You and I and every human being that has a functioning immune system is walking around with probably trillions of totally different antibody molecule just circulating in our blood," says Lowe. There are a lot of them than there are stars.

Lowe explains that the Y-shaped proteins are hidden in the blood in low concentrations, waiting for them to find something that sticks to them. The "soulmate" is a foreign substance that enters the bloodstream.

In the case of COVID, a specific part at the tip of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the antibodies bind to the surface. Lowe says that it sends out signals to the immune system.

The virus can be stopped by the most powerful antibodies. Lowe says that if you have an antibody that sticks to the tip of the spikeprotein at the business end of the virus, it means the virus can't get into a cell.

The spikeProtein has been the target of all the anti-viruses that have been tried. It's been a long time since it was a good match, as it's changed with new variant, leaving the antibodies with nowhere to go.

The companies have stopped selling these products. It's a riskier bet for companies because the federal government stopped buying them in quantities.

"There are antibodies out there, but nobody has the $200 million to develop it," Dieffenbach says, citing costs that include producing the antibodies, running trials and getting them authorized by the FDA." It wasn't worth it for a product that was likely to be obsolete in a few months.

These are treatments for people who don't want to go to a hospital. There is a different type of therapy for hospitalized patients. Actemra targets the body's immune reaction to the virus, rather than the virus itself, so it's not susceptible to the type of virus change that can occur.

New directions in research, and a potential comeback

There could still be hope for the drug. Drugmakers and researchers at government agencies are looking for long-term solutions to their problems.

The initial focus was to find the most potent antibodies. There is awareness that we need to find a way to fight the current version of the coronaviruses.

In his lab in Rockville, Md., Tan and the researchers who work with him are looking for antibodies that target parts of the coronaviruses that have stayed the same over time Tan says that they are looking at other parts of the spikeprotein that may be more consistent.

To achieve this, researchers in Tan's lab are taking immune cells from the blood of patients that have recovered from COVID, and throwing them with plastic pellets filled with spike proteins from different coronaviruses to see which cells respond. Cherrelle Dacon is a post-doctoral researcher. There are seven different coronaviruses that are capable ofinfecting humans.

The immune cells that respond to coronaviruses are making antibodies that bind to the same part of the spike.

The process of isolating individual immune cells, finding the ones that make antibodies in response to various spike proteins, and then using those to make more antibodies that they can scale up, analyze and test to figure out what on the virus they're actually binding to is a lengthy one. The process can take up to four months to complete.

The good news is that they've found an antidote for multiple coronaviruses. Some of the results were published in science.

The researchers have found that the antibodies are not as potent as they could be. There seems to be a tradeoff between how well a antibodies works and how long it lasts before it is useless.

If the coronaviruses had human body parts, the old, highly effective monoclonals would hit the spikeProtein squarely on the nose. The new Tan is trying to grab it by the arm. "One of the issues appears to be that it's harder to reach those parts," Tan says, "what the broader, less potent antibodies need is for the spikeprotein to shift in shape."

The tradeoff is being worked on by Tan. It's a process that's largely theoretical at the moment and will take some time to work out.

While Tan and other researchers work on the next generation of antibodies that work against all coronaviruses, the nation is entering a long lull with no treatments that work against the dominant strains of the disease.

Losing a really good drug is the reason for the disappointment. You're focused on the next option. We adapt based on what we have.

As Tan and others pursue the long game with antibodies, there are other treatments that still work.

There are possibilities beyond COVID because of the research on and rapid development of Antibody Treatments. It's going to be easier to produce monoclonals in the future because of the lessons learned from the outbreak of the coronaviruses. There was nothing left to be done here.