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Why LSU is the 'key to chaos' in the CFB Playoff (1:29)

There is a chance that Tennessee, Oregon and LSU will get into the College Football Playoff. There is a time and a place for it.

8:30 PM ET

With Georgia now the undisputed No. 1 team in the country, the biggest debate for the selection committee in its second ranking was at No.4.

The Big Ten's best hope for a semifinalist will be determined in the final game of the season when Ohio State and Michigan face off. The conference has four teams in the top 13, including USC and UCLA, which could win the conference title.

The ranking gave more clues as to what might happen on Selection Day.

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Anger Index | 12-team bracket | Résumés |

Tennessee is still able to finish in the top four

There will be an opportunity for some controversy with Ohio State and Michigan still having to face each other and Tennessee likely to finish 11-1 The Vols face unranked opponents in the last three weeks of the season. It sets the stage for a lengthy debate in the committee meeting room if Tennessee finishes 11-1 and Oregon finishes one-loss in the conference. Both of them lost to Georgia.

The SEC has had teams finish in the top four without winning their division before. Alabama started the year 11-0 but lost to auburn. It happened in the Big Ten when Ohio State did not win its division. Tennessee is ranked second in strength of schedule and second in strength of record. The wins against Alabama and LSU are among the best in the country. The only time a one-loss SEC team was left out was in 2020.

It's difficult to get into the top four without a conference title. The committee thinks Tennessee is the better team, but a conference championship against a ranked opponent could give Oregon the push it needs.

THE NEW CFP TOP 25 RANKINGS ARE HERE 🏈

We have movement in the top four 👀 pic.twitter.com/J7qB4Jk83k

— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) November 9, 2022

The margin for error is slim, but No. 4 TCU controls its playoff path

If the Frogs lose one of their games, they could be looking at the winner of the conference. The committee's willingness to put the Frogs in the top four this week is due to the fact that they have the top remaining schedule strength. If they win at Texas on Saturday and end the season with a victory over Iowa State, they'll get a boost to their resume. The Frogs will lose their back-to-back road games which will eliminate them from the Big 12.

LSU holds the key to SEC chaos

Even with two losses, there's hope for LSU and quarterback Jayden Daniels. Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

LSU is the committee's highest-ranked two-loss team but still behind Tennessee because of the head-to-head result. It doesn't mean that LSU can't move up. The first two-loss team in theCFP would be the Tigers if they beat Georgia to win the SEC. The 12-1 Georgia team would be considered as the SEC runner-up and the 11-1 Tennessee team would be considered as the SEC champ.

What should we do next?

It would be dependent on what happened in the other games. If Utah wins the Pac-12, the Big 12 has a two-loss conference champion, and the loser of Ohio State-Michigan is beaten soundly, it is not impossible. The shape of the Atlantic Coast Conference is not good.

The ACC is in the worst shape of the Power 5 conferences

The loss at Notre Dame was devastating, but it was not the only one. After losing to Syracuse and Wake Forest, both of those teams dropped out of the Top 25 on Tuesday. The best win for the team is against NC State. There are plenty of other teams that have a chance to leap the tigers. Notre Dame was ranked 20th this week, which is a boost for Ohio State, and could help USC down the road.

No. 17 Tulane and No. 22 UCF could be playing for a New Year's Six bowl.

The two best teams in the conference play each other. The winner of Saturday's game will take the lead for the New Year's Six bowl spot, since the highest ranked conference champion from the Group of 5 is guaranteed a spot.

Anger index

The initial committee rankings are bound to anger some fans, but they also set a stage for the future. Every fan base has an idea of where the chips might fall in the rankings, thanks to the window into the committee's perception. When it comes to the second top 25, it's more about how the committee applies new logic to teams that are not in the top 25.

The College Football Playoff chase will be affected by Saturday's games. The odds for the top four. The answers can be found in the playoff Predictor. The odds are updated after each game.

This week's AngerIndex is all about context. The committee loved you a week ago, but now you are just another team with axes.

Who was upset after the second set of rankings?

This is the first thing. The Tigers are 1-8.

The loss to Notre Dame was not pretty. Right now, there are some big questions about the offense of CLEMSON. The Irish's win over Notre Dame moved them from unranked into the top 20 and made them the clear favorite to win the Atlantic Coast Conference. Why would you drop a team all the way to No.10?

This is a quick comparison.

Team A has a strong record with four wins over top-40 teams and a 9.4 points per game margin.

Team B has a strength of record of 10 and has a win over a top-40 team.

It's likely you know that Team A is from the school. The team is called Team B. Despite its best win being over Oregon State, USC is two places higher. Even though it looked bad against Notre Dame, it still has victories over NC State, Wake Forest, Syracuse and Florida State.

Let's be clear about that loss. It was more than just an implosion by Notre Dame, it was an implosion by the other team as well. The Irish got a touchdown on special teams, a pick six and a touchdown after an intercept.

There is a bit of a mess with the offense at the moment. Is that more worrisome than the USC defense giving up 35 to Cal? The Alabama defense couldn't stop LSU in the final moments. The LSU team lost to a Florida State team.

No one in the area should be happy. The ship has a lot of work to be done. This feels like an overcorrection that ignores the things the committee liked about the team a week earlier and looks at the final score of the most recent game.

There are two The UCLA Bruins are 1-8.

Oregon is clearly the better team in the Pacific-12. The UCLA game was played in Eugene on October 22nd. We know why Oregon is ranked higher. Six spots higher? Is USC in between?

UCLA defeated Utah. USC was defeated by Utah. USC is in the top half of the rankings. That's understandable. You are not able to.

Utah, which was humiliated by the Bruins, is one spot behind UCLA. Is the board just trying to spite UCLA by moving to the Big Ten? There is no reason for the Bruins to be the second- lowest ranked one-loss Power 5 team.

There are three. The Volunteers of Tennessee are 1-8.

Get this straight. The Tennessee team was the best in the country last week. The Vols went to Georgia in bad weather and lost to the new No. 1 team. TCU jumped from seven to four despite not being able to beat Texas Tech. Even though the Buckeyes looked bad, Ohio State jumpedTennessee. Michigan jumped Tennessee even though it lost to Rutgers.

The second-best team in the country is the Tennessee Volunteers. Even though the Volunteers ran into Georgia, they shouldn't forget what happened before. Ask the state of Oregon.

There are four. The Liberty Flames are 1-8.

Liberty's only blemish is a failed two-point conversion against Wake Forest. They went to Arkansas last week and won. The Flames have beaten Southern Miss and other teams. What needs to be done to get Hugh Freeze to agree to a deal that will get Liberty ranked?

There are five. The Kansas Jayhawks have a 3-6 record.

Five teams are ranked. Kansas is not a part of that group. The committee does not like fun.

Kansas has two wins. The number is the same as Florida State and Kentucky. The Jayhawks defeated Oklahoma State. The state of Texas didn't. We all know what happened when Kansas and Texas played each other. The committee doesn't really care about the bottom teams in the top 25. Do you think Kansas is a good place to live? The right thing to do is to do it.

How a 12-team playoff would look

With Bo Nix (10) running the offense and Noah Sewell leading the defense, Oregon is in good shape to make a run at the Pac-12 title and a CFP slot. Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

The College Football Playoff should be expanded to 12 teams in time for the 2024 season, according to everyone with the power.

Expansion is scheduled to start in the year 2026. We're taking a look at how a 12-team playoff would look today based on the model released by the commissioners and presidents.

The next six highest-ranked teams will be included in the field. The top four seeds will get a bye in the first round. The higher seeds will host the lower seeds in the first round, with the other eight teams playing at another location.

The playoffs would look like this if the format were in place.

There are seeds with byES.

1. Georgia 2. Ohio State 3. TCU

4. Oregon

Remaining seeds are still alive.

(conference champs in bold)

5. Michigan 6. Tennessee 7. LSU 8. USC 9. Alabama

10. Clemson

11. Ole Miss

12. Tulane

The first round of games.

No. 12 Tulane @ No. 5 Michigan No. 11 Ole Miss @ No. 6 Tennessee No. 10 Clemson @ No. 7 LSU

No. 9 Alabama @ No. 8 USC

The quarter final games were played.

No. 9 Alabama-No. 8 USC winner vs. No. 1 Georgia No. 10 Clemson-No. 7 LSU winner vs. No. 2 Ohio State No. 11 Ole Miss-No. 6 Tennessee winner vs. No. 3 TCU

No. 12 Tulane-No. 5 Michigan winner vs. No. 4 Oregon

Top 10 résumés

No. 1 Georgia

Kenny McIntosh and Georgia ran right past Tennessee and into the No. 1 spot. Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire

SOR: 1 The record is 9.

Biggest win: Nov. 5 vs. Tennessee 27-13

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Saturday at Mississippi State

Last playoff appearance: 2022 CFP National championship, No. 3 Georgia 33, No. 1 Alabama 18

No. 2 Ohio State

The record was 9-0 and the score was 53 to three.

Biggest win: Oct. 29 at Penn State 44-31

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 26 vs. Michigan

Last playoff appearance: 2021 CFP National Championship, No. 1 Alabama 52, No. 3 Ohio State 24

No. 3 Michigan

The record is 9-0 with a score of 73 and a margin of error of 5.

Biggest win: Oct. 15 vs. Penn State 41-17

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 26 at Ohio State

Last playoff appearance: 2022 Playoff Semifinal at the Orange Bowl, No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Michigan 11

No. 4 TCU

The record is 9-0 and the score is 4.

Biggest win: Oct. 22 vs. Kansas State 38-28

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Saturday at Texas

Last playoff appearance: Never

No. 5 Tennessee

SOR: 2 on the record.

Biggest win: Oct. 8 at LSU 40-13

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 19 at South Carolina

Last playoff appearance: Never

No. 6 Oregon

The record was 8-1 with a 27 percent success rate and a 6 percent failure rate.

Biggest win: Oct. 22 vs. UCLA 45-30

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 19 vs. Utah

Last playoff appearance: 2015 CFP National Championship, No. 4 Ohio State 42, No. 2 Oregon 20

No. 7 LSU

SOR: 7 is the record.

Biggest win: Nov. 5 vs. Alabama 32-31

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 26 at Texas A&M

Last playoff appearance: 2020 CFP National Championship: No. 1 LSU 42, No. 3 Clemson 25

No. 8 USC

The record was 8-1 with a 64 percent success rate and an 8 percent failure rate.

Biggest win: Sept. 24 at Oregon State

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 19 at UCLA

Last playoff appearance: Never

No. 9 Alabama

The record is 7-2 with a 6 and a 9.

Biggest win: Sept. 10 at Texas 20-19

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Saturday at Ole Miss

Last playoff appearance: 2022 CFP National Championship, No. 3 Georgia 33, No. 1 Alabama 18

No. 10 Clemson

The record was 8-1 with a 55 percent success rate and an 8 percent failure rate.

Biggest win: Oct. 1 vs. NC State 30-20

Biggest remaining regular-season game: Nov. 26 vs. South Carolina

Last playoff appearance: 2021 Playoff Semifinal at the Sugar Bowl, No. 3 Ohio State 49, No. 2 Clemson 28