In most battleground states, Democrats are turning out in higher numbers than Republicans, but a strong GOP showing is expected on election day.

US-VOTE-ELECTION-OHIO

Voters wait in line to cast their ballot for early voting The photo was taken by Paul Vernon/Agence France-Presse.

AFP via Getty Images

TargetSmart said that more than 70% of the 1.1 million votes received were cast by probable Democratic voters.

In Pennsylvania, early GOP voter turnout has dipped from 2020 more than it has among Democrats, but GOP strategist Mark Harris thinks Republicans are more likely to vote on Election Day rather than via early or Absentee Voting.

The New York Times reported last week that Democratic early voter participation was on par with last year's levels, but Republican early voter participation was lower.

According to the Nevada Independent, there are more registered Democrats in Nevada than there are Republicans, but fewer of them have voted as of Sunday.

Georgia has seen a dramatic increase in in-person early voting and a decline in Absentee Voting from 2020, which is largely believed to be due to restrictions on Absentee Voting Act of 2021.

TargetSmart estimates that half of the early votes came from Democrats and the other half from Republicans.

In Florida, where there are more registered Republicans than Democrats, more Republicans have voted early in-person or by mail than Democrats.

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In Miami-Dade County, where the number of registered Democrats surpasses registered Republicans by nearly 10 points, about 6,000 more ballots had been cast in-person or via Absentee by Republicans versus Democrats as of Sunday, indicating the county could vote for a Republican governor.

Big Number

40,796,94 According to the US Elections Project, the total number of early in-person and Absentee ballots cast nationwide as of Monday was greater than the number cast in the last election. More than half of the early voters ballots were cast by Democrats and less than one third by Republicans.

Key Background

Republicans are expected to take to the polls in higher numbers than Democrats on Election Day in order to eliminate Democrats' advantage. A recent Gallup poll found a 22-point gap in early voting preferences between the two parties, with a majority of Democrats and a majority of Republicans saying they would vote early. Members of the same party tend to vote early in the year.

Tangent

Fearing early-voting hesitancy could sway election results in Democrats' favor, the chair of the Arizona Republican Party encouraged early voting by posting a photo of herself delivering her own ballot to a drop box. For a long time, Ward had made false claims about early voting.

The early voting data can't tell us anything.

The experts predict a high voter turnout.