The demand for Clorox's cleaning supplies soared during the Pandemic but the company's stock price has since fallen. It is expected that the Mr. Market will go back to its previous levels. Markets tend to go either way. It is clear that Clorox overshot to the upside when it hit highs of $237.94 in August 2020 and lost nearly half its value as it crashed through its low in June 2022. During the Pandemic years of 2020 through 2021, it grew at an annual rate of up to 9%. The stock price is expected to go up after an outlier event. The investors are wondering if the sell-off is too much of an overshot to the downside that will leave the stock worse off than before. Favorable exchange rates help Clorox. Clorox was not meant to be a momentum stock, but the sentiment has completely turned and turned into a post-pandemic pariah.

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Industry Deceleration

It's not exclusive to Clorox. The destruction of their shares and underlying businesses is the same thing that happened to its peers. Materials, manufacturing, and logistics costs have gone up due to inflation. Private label and generic cleaning product brands are being migrated to cheaper brands due to the weak macroeconomic environment. After COVID, Clorox prioritized the rebuilding of margins and revenue growth in order to implement its strategy.

Leaner and Meaner

On August 3, 2022, Clorox released its fourth-quarter results for the year. The company reported a profit that was in line with analyst estimates. Revenues fell (-0.01%) year-over-year and missed analyst estimates. Inflationary pressures in materials, manufacturing and freight costs kept gross margins flat. They were mitigated by its actions. The new streamlined operating model is expected to save between $75 million and $100 million annually. The goal is for selling and administrative expenses to make up a small portion of sales. The streamlined operating model we announced today is designed to increase efficiency, move decision-making closer to consumers and customers, and enable us to better meet their needs. The digital transformation initiative that's already underway is an important step in implementing our IGNITE strategy.

Downside Fiscal 2023 Outlook

Clorox issued downside guidance for full-year 2023 earnings between $3.85 and $4.22 per share. The revenue growth is expected to range from (-4%) to up 2% or $6.83 billion to $7.34 billion. Pricing increases and cost savings are expected to mitigate cost inflation as gross margins rise. In fiscal 2023, CEO Rendle expects the environment to remain difficult, but she is still committed to delivering 3% to 5% sales growth over the long term.

Clorox Pandemic Gains Have Been Bleached, Time to Get Back In?

The Charts Say…

A perspective on the playing field for CLX stock can be provided by using the rifle charts. The weekly rifle chart has a breakdown led by the falling weekly 5-period moving average resistance and the 15-period MA resistance. After rejecting off thefib level and cracking the weekly market structure low, shares broke down. There was a reversal of the weekly stochastic through the 60 band. An inverse pup breakdown was formed by the falling daily 5-period MA resistance and the 15-period MA. The daily 200 period MA and 50-peiod MA resistances are falling. As the daily stochastic stalls just above the 10-band, the daily lower Bollinger Bands sit at $121.58 It's important to keep an eye on the charts as a bottom for one can mean a bottom for the entire group. The $119.88 fib is one of the attractive levels.

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