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The U.S. stock and bond markets have been volatile, where can investors hide?
Mark Jolley is a global strategist at CCB International Securities. He named his favorite categories.
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The person said, "Weizenzhen Tan."
The dot plot, the Fed's so-called interest rate forecast, is the most important information investors want from the Fed, according to strategists. The futures market priced in a big jump in the terminal rate when the Fed stopped hiking. Pricing in a 4% terminal rate was done by April.
The median dot is expected to show the funds rate at 4-5% at the end of the decade, an additional hike to a peak of 4.5% in 2023, one cut in 2024 and two more in 2025, and an unchanged longer-run rate of 2.5%.
The funds rate needs to go high. Our answer is high enough to cause a tightening of financial conditions that will result in a drag on activity that will keep the growth trajectory below potential. If more tightening is needed to keep growth on a below-potential path, we could imagine the hiking cycle extending beyond this year.
Tanaya Macheel.
The S&P 500 could fall under 3,700 before a more meaningful rally kicks in, according to MarkNewton, head of technical analysis at Fundstrat.
He said, "September's Triple Witching Friday close at multi-week lows is particularly negative for the prospects of a rally, and further selling is likely over the next couple weeks to undercut 3,700 before a relief rally can get underway in October."
On Friday, the S&P 500 finished the week at 3,873.33
He said that he does not expect much strength until prices reach support under 3,700. One should be patient until markets reach downside targets and begin to show either volume and breadth divergences or capitulation to buy.
The person is Tanaya Macheel.
After the major averages posted their worst week in six months, stock futures were little changed on Sunday evening.
The futures tied to the S&P 500 increased in value by 0.03%. The futures for the index were down.
The moves came as investors looked ahead to the Fed meeting.
The person is Tanaya Macheel.
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