Bart Scott and Damien Woody wonder if the Cowboys will be able to overcome the loss of their best player with the emergence of a new one. There is a time and a place for it. The Kansas City Chiefs won their home opener against the Los Angeles Clippers 27-24. What will Sunday's slate look like for gamblers? The crew explores which teams will bounce back and offer their favorite plays and props. We will have more to come on Monday Night Football this week with the Bills-Titans game on the air. The Vikings-Eagles game will be shown on TV. There is an hour on ABC and an hour on the Disney Channel. Let's focus on Sunday. Fantasy and sports betting analysts include Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh,Anita Marks, and Eric Moody. Unless otherwise stated, the lines from the casino. The decline and fall of the Dallas Cowboys shows how important the quarterback is to the success of the league. The Cowboys are dead last with Cooper Rush as their starter. If Rush started the entire season, they would be 31st in DAVE ratings. Most of the nation was going to be able to watch the game at 4 pm. It looks like a big win with a 7-point line and a low total. In Week 2, five teams that lost in the first week are favored. The Rams, Packers, Packers, Broncos, and 49ers all have at least one touchdown. Which teamssail some of the concern by getting in the win column and doing so in a convincing way? Which of these teams fails to cover? Which team will force fans and media to enter a full on DEFCON 5 meltdown if it falls to 2-0 on the season? I'm most confident that the Packers and theBengals will cover their large numbers. Moody asked how Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos would respond after suffering a heartbreaking loss. Wilson's coach took the ball away from him with the game on the line. The Broncos have to beat the Houston Texans. A dark horse to win the Super Bowl, the Denver Broncos are a team with playoff ambitions, a team with a potentialMVP candidate in Wilson, and one that some gamblers see as a dark horse to win the Super Bowl. The Broncos will be covering the spread against the Texans. Kezirian shares the same sentiment as Tyler andAaron. Cincinnati is one of the 0-1 teams laying a large number. Since 2000, it has only occurred 22 times. I was told by an oddsmaker that Cincinnati would be a 2.5 point favorite if it weren't for the injury to Dallas' quarterback. I don't think the loss is true. Losing the turnover battle would have made a big difference in the outcome of the game. This line was made by Disney's Fantasy Points Initiative. I think they win the game. I'll take the other side of the coin from most of the crew, and shine a light on teams that could potentially be better than the lines give them credit for. The 49ers lost to the Bears last Sunday and are now 8.5 point dogs to beat the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The Packers are a 10 point dog. The New England team that struggled in the opener is a +2.0 favorite against the Pittsburgh team that beat the Cincinnati team. Both the Giants and Commanders have close spreads against the winless Lions. Is any of the surprise Week 1 winners true? The best game on the list is the one between the Steelers and the Pats, with a +2.0 score. The only team in the league with a winning record against Tom Brady is the Saints. Talk about how much you want it. New Orleans has a secret sauce against Brady because he's unable to them in the regular season. The offensive line is in bad shape and the wide receiving core is weak. It took the Saints three quarters to find their rhythm against the Falcons, but if they can pick up where they left off in the 4th quarter a week ago... The season is upon us. It's free to sign up for fantasy football. For nothing, play for free. Week 1 is not a good time to overrate. A lot of money has been lost if we assume that Week 1 results are more important than preseason information. Week 1 results at Football Outsiders are only worth 7% of the season's total. I'm giving 3.5 points to the Dolphins and taking the Ravens to victory. Baltimore was our No. 2 projection in the preseason at Football Outsiders. We were very enthusiastic about the Saints. They were projected to be one of the league's top defenses, but after giving up 26 points to the Falcons, things don't look as good. The Saints have a good history against the Bucs. While the Saints are one of the better teams in the league, I would take the Saints + 2.5. It's free to play. 60 prizes worth $88,500 are up for grabs. Pick your favorites. The game is being played in New Orleans. Tom Brady has been 0-4 against the Saints in the regular season since joining the Buccaneers. The New Orleans defense will wreak havoc on the offensive line. Some people are down on the Saints after they lost at Atlanta last week, but keep in mind that JameisWinston missed most of the preseason due to injury. I would expect a better performance now that he's knocked the rust off. I think it's dangerous to do, but I will look at the history of the Saints against Brady and the Bucs. It looks like New Orleans may have been focused on Week 2 when they were so bad against the Falcons. The only other team that matters in this division at the moment is the one that they escaped with a win. The city of New Orleans is + 2.5. I'll make it a clean sweep and pick the Bengal's as the most likely to cover. The crew has given a lot of good reasons for that one, so I'll go in a different direction and say that I like the Rams -0.0 against the Falcons. It was the first time in the McVay era that the team was under.500, a testament to how prepared and ready the Rams are to start the season. The Bills took them to task in the opener, but the Rams have had more time to regroup. I think the Falcons will be easily handled at home on Sunday. The Rams have an 81.6% chance of winning and should be favored by 10 points. Marks likes the Packers at -10) After a loss in the first week of the second season, Rodgers is off to a great start, with 12 touchdown and one pick-six. He says he's the owner of the Bears. I do expect Allen to come back. The Bears beat the 49ers in the first week of the season, but it was more about the weather and not being prepared. The Packers will be playing on Sunday night. I know anecdotally backup quarterbacks seem to play well in their first starts, but it's important to remember that the drop from Dak to Cooper Rush is huge. It's likely that Rush won't keep up the level of play that made him a positive passer a year ago. He took seven more sacks even though the offensive line was rebuilt. He won't throw any more picks against the Dallas defense. Cincinnati is the favorites and I will give Dallas a touchdown in this game. Cincinnati big is fortenbaugh's name. Outside of going -5 in turnover differential at Pittsburgh in Week 1, the Bengal's owned the box score by running 33 more plays and holding the ball for an additional 17 minutes and 26 seconds. The team will be out for revenge. The Dallas Cowboys were not good prior to the injury of the quarterback. Do we think Mike McCarthy will be able to coach the opposition? I don't believe that. Mr. Fortenbaugh is correct. For me, it's the Cincinnati Reds. TheBengals will be fine even though they lost to the division rivalSteelers. Players like Joe Mixon and Ja'Marr Chase are not good enough to succeed in the offense of Cincinnati. The defense performed well in the first week of the season. The run defense of Cincinnati was very good. That's important since they'll face a Cowboys team without their quarterback. Since the beginning of the year, Dallas has played a dozen games without their leader. There has been a decrease in points per game. Following a loss, the Bengals were 5-2 against the spread. In Week 2, Cincinnati has a good chance of covering the seven points. The model has a lot of different opinions with the market this week. Let's go for a swim! Cincinnati is at Dallas.
FPI prediction: Bengals by 11.2What is your biggest betting storyline entering Week 2?
There are two matchups of unbeaten teams Sunday in Week 2: Dolphins at Ravens (-3.5, 44.5) and Buccaneers (-2.5, 44) at Saints. What are your thoughts on the total and spread, and who are you taking in these games?
The Rams, 49ers, Broncos, Bengals and Packers are all a touchdown or more favorites for this week despite being 0-1. Who do you like to bounce back this week and cover?
What are the three most important things that our analytics say?
The team's current strength is the basis for the ratings. The Cowboys are currently ranked 32nd. Last. It's crazy for a team that was a serious contender a week ago. I do not believe it is. This is what it sees in the Cowboys.
• The worst current starting QB in the league in Rush. • A slightly below average non-QB roster.
• A poor performance in Week 1.
The Cincinnati team should be more than a touchdown favorite if it is all put together.
The New Orleans Saints are at the New York Giants.
The recent history of the Saints and the Bucs makes me wary of this contest. The Bucs are a complete team with an elite quarterback, excellent receiver and a very good defense. Even if there is a team of quality that is worth more than a field goal against a mediocre team in New Orleans, surely that team has to be worth more than a field goal.
The Packers are playing the Bears.
The model is mostly sticking to its priors on Green Bay despite a bad game against the Vikings and an upset victory over the 49ers. Is it making me feel more confident here? The model doesn't know that the win over the Niners occurred in wet conditions. It's not a reason to like Chicago.
I'm going to take Jacksonville +4 against Indianapolis. Football Outsiders was the only one who had the Colts as low as we did, but we had no team better than the league average. Matt Ryan didn't look like Frank Reich would bring back the fountain of youth for him in the first game of the season. The subjective case for Jacksonville is that Doug Pederson is a better head coach than Urban Meyer and that he can't help but improve the Jags significantly.
Cincinnati is -7 for all the reasons.
Pick a week and you can win the grand prize.
But I will bite. The Pats are favored by 2.5 points in the game. I know T.J. Watt is injured and Mitchell Trubisky looked far from impressive against the Cincinnati, but what did the Pats do to inspire this kind of confidence? The concerns about New England's offense were fully realized in Week 1, and I believe the Steelers at home are a tougher test than the Dolphins in Miami. It's probably a low- scoring game because of the offensive limitations on both sides, but I don't think the New England's are as bad as the Pittsburgh's. Mike Tomlin is 14-4-1 against the spread as a home favorite in his career. The Pittsburghers are + 2.5.
Moody thinks that the Jets will be covered by the Indians. After Joe Flacco's performance against the Ravens in the first week of the season, the Jets are waiting for the return of another player. New York punted on six of their 12 drives against Baltimore. He was able to rely on the running game with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt and a stellar defense with the help of the team's coaching staff. Given Cleveland's personnel, this will be their identity. While Deshaun is serving his suspension, ball control will be a key part of the team. The defense should be able to win the game. In the first week of the season, the Jets' offensive line needs work. Over their last eight home games, Cleveland is 6-1 against the spread. Against lesser opponents, the Browns are very good.
I share Moody's opinion. I think the Jets will be covered by -6.5 against the Browns. I will go with my second best bet, and that is the Pittsburgh and New England teams under 40 points. The negative scouting reports supported what we saw from both teams in Week 1. This feels like a low- scoring game because both defenses are elite and key offensive players like Mac Jones and Najee Harris are already playing banged up.
Marks were given to the panthers against the Giants Robinson received a high grade from PFF in the first week of the season. DJ Moore andRobbie Anderson will have a lot of time to make plays against the Giants. The LB core has a good match up with Christian McCaffrey. The matchup is important for the team to not start the season with two losses.
Give me over 44.5 receiving yards for a teammate. The Dolphins allowed opponents to average 62 yards per game against them last season. In Week 1 he got 55 of his 59 yards on a single catch, but he was more of a possession receiver than a deep threat and was steady with at least four catches in seven of his 12 games last season. That included a six-catch, 80 yard day against Miami, although that game was played with a different team. When Lamar Jackson is under a lot of pressure, he'll be looking for either MarkAndrews or Bateman.
SaquonBarkley had over 27 receiving yards. The pass-catching corps of the Giants is not good. Kenny Golladay is no longer visible. Wan' Dale Robinson is injured. Kadarius Toney is only used to playing seven snaps a game. Daniel Jones doesn't have a lot of work to do on the offense. In Week 1 against theTitans, he played 83% of the offensive snaps and earned a team-high seven targets in the passing game. I expect him to have the same opportunities in this game.
Allen Robinson had 4.5 catches. I don't know what to say. Robinson looked bad in the opener. I was curious if Sean McVay would use him in a different way. Nope, that's right. Robinson had trouble in the season opener. He has to face A.J. Terrell, who is great at scaring targets, as well as CASEY HAYWARD, who is great at discouraging targets. Robinson's receiving model projects just 3.8 catches for him.
Rodgers passed for 246.5 yards. The Packers lost to the Vikings in the first week of the season. It was encapsulated by ChristianWatson burning PatrickPeterson on a deep route but then dropping what would have been a long touchdown reception. The back-to-back Most Valuable Player will look to get back on track against the Bears. In the last year, Rodgers has averaged 260.3 passing yards against the Bears.
The marks were given to Cordarrelle Patterson, who ran over 53.50 rushing yards. Williams has not practiced this week due to a rib injury and it's possible he won't play against the Rams. Another huge day is what I think will happen. In the first week of the season, the Falcons ran a lot of pistol snaps. The Rams pass rush is offset by a lot of the same things.
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