Ben Hodges

The Kremlin is facing a historic crisis of confidence as it becomes clear that Ukraine is going to win the war.

I think it is possible that Putin's weaknesses are so severe that we could be witnessing the beginning of the end of the Russian Federation.

In the last 6 months, Russia has used more weapons than the US has in the last 20 years.

The collapse of Russia could be gradual before it becomes violent and chaotic.

If we fail to prepare for this possibility in the way that we failed to prepare for the collapse of the Soviet Union, it could cause a lot of instability.

There are at least three factors that could cause Russia to fall apart.

According to a retired US general, Ukraine can regain control of occupied territories within a year.

Domestic confidence in the Russian Army has traditionally been at the core of the Kremlin's legitimacy.

The humiliation in Ukraine is almost over, with the Black Sea Fleet still hiding behind the peninsula, too scared to take action against a country that doesn't even have a navy.

The degradation of the Russian economy is one of the sources of instability.

The damage done to the Russian economy has made it impossible to sustain a population of more than 120 million.

Is Russia a fascist state?

The country's lack of modern industries can't be reversed. European governments are already making long-term investments in domestic energy supply, having seen how easy it is to turn off the natural gas line.

The state is more brittle because of Russian demographic.

The Federation has just twice the population as the United Kingdom.

With the metropole in a weak position, any sense of national identity could quickly erode.

You can read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine.