A tropical wave that has been monitoring in the eastern Atlantic Ocean over the past few days seems to be losing steam and is unlikely to develop, with no other systems on the horizon even as forecasts call for the Atlantic Hurricane season to ramp up.
There have been no tropical threats so far this season.
As the system moves toward an area of high wind shear that will stifle its ability to develop further, there has been a decrease in thunderstorm activity.
The tropical wave has a 10% chance of forming into a tropical depression during the next 48 hours and a 20% chance over the next five days, according to forecasts.
The system is the first that has been given a chance to develop since July 13, when an area of thunderstorms moved over the northern Gulf of Mexico.
According to the National Hurricane Center, there is no chance of any other disturbances developing over the next five days.
September 10 is the peak of hurricanes, but it's become common in recent years for activity to flare up starting in August and continuing through October.
Even though there have only been three named storms and zero hurricanes since the season began in June, prominent forecasts released this month doubled down on the prediction that the year would be one of the most active in history. According to forecasters, a La Nia climate pattern usually leads to warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures and low wind shear, which promotes storm development. The ability for storms to grow is hampered by the large areas of dry air caused by the dust moving across the Atlantic.
The trajectory of this season is similar to last year's, which had a period of more than a month without a named storm between July and August. There were 15 named storms in the season that ended in September.
There is a first tropical storm threat in weeks.
Forecasters say there could be a big increase in the activity of hurricanes in the coming weeks.
Government forecasters say the season is about to get worse.
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