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With less than four months until the election, Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds has a 17 percentage point lead over Democrat Deidre DeJear.
A new Des Moines Register/ Mediacom Iowa Poll shows that Reynolds is supported by more voters than DeJear. Rick Stewart is supported by five percent of the population.
5% say they would vote for someone else, 2% say they wouldn't vote, and 9% don't know.
Reynolds had a lead of less than one percent in an Iowa Poll conducted February 28-March 2. The two candidates were separated by only 8 percentage points, with Reynolds getting a majority of the vote.
Reynolds has a 3 percentage point drop in his share of the vote in the new poll.
Kim Reynolds is leading in an Iowa Poll.
Stewart gets 5% of the Democratic vote and 10% of the Independent vote. He doesn't get much of a vote from the Republicans.
Reynolds is supported by her own party. She has the support of the vast majority of Republican voters, while DeJear has the support of less than half of Democrats.
Reynolds leads DeJear among no-party voters by a large margin.
There is a vision in the governor's race.
In the previous poll, 5% of likely voters said they weren't sure which candidate they'd vote for.
J. Ann Selzer is the president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the survey.
All Iowans have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points, while the sample of likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Reynolds was elected to her first full term as governor in June of last year. She has an advantage over DeJear. Reynolds had more cash on hand than DeJear at the end of the May 14 reporting period. The reports will be published this week.
Reynolds has an approval rating that is back up according to the poll. Half of Iowans approve of how she is handling her job. Less than half of Iowans approved of her work in March.
According to the poll respondents, they voted for Reynolds in the last election and plan to vote for her again this year. Kelly credited some of Reynolds' child care initiatives. She thinks Reynolds has led well.
She said that she thought of everyone when handling Covid.
Ed Deuhr, a Democrat and a 66-year-old retired truck driver who lives in Shell Rock, said he doesn't approve of Reynolds' politics. 5% of Democrats plan to vote, but are unsure who they will vote for.
He isn't sure if he'd vote for DeJear until he learns more about her.
It's a long way off. He was still trying to make a decision. I don't know much about her.
Republicans approve of Reynolds job performance at a higher rate than democrats. The majority of independents approve and disapprove.
Some likely voters have pockets of strength. She leads among people under 35, those with no religious affiliation, those who live in cities, and those who live in the suburbs. Those are not large groups.
Men, ages 35 to 54, those without college degrees, and those who live in towns are the most likely to vote for Reynolds.
In the 4 US House races, voters prefer Republicans in three of them.
More Iowans think the state is headed in the wrong direction than in the right direction according to a poll. Forty-six percent of Iowans think the state is going in the wrong direction, compared to 42% who think it is going in the right direction.
More than three-fourths of Republicans think things are going in the right direction, compared to just 10% of Democrats and 30% of independents.
Allison Griffin, an independent and a 25-year-old middle school teacher from Johnston, said she's dissatisfied with Reynolds' handling of the COVID-19 epidemic and her push in court to reinstate a previously blocked state law that could ban abortions as early as six weeks.
She plans to vote for DeJear in the fall because she believes she represents her values.
A lot of young people's opinions and beliefs are going to finally be considered as a priority in our country, she said. I think her platform is in line with a lot of my beliefs.
David Speidel, a Republican and a water well contractor from Vinton, disagrees with Reynolds on her push to limit abortions but mostly agrees with her on economic issues, including her decision to reduce the number of weeks Iowans can receive unemployment benefits.
According to him, the state is on the right path and that he will vote for Reynolds.
He said that he doesn't agree with the decision of the Supreme Court. She has done a good job with the economy and gun rights.
The Iowa Poll was conducted for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom. Interviews were conducted with households with randomly selected phone numbers. The interviews were done in English. The responses were adjusted based on the American Community Survey estimates.
The maximum margin of error for the questions is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. There is a maximum margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points for questions based on the sub sample. 19 times out of 20, the results would not vary from the true population value if the same questions and methodology were used again. Smaller samples of respondents have a bigger margin of error.
The Register and Mediacom can't be used to re publish the Iowa Poll.
Ian Richardson is a reporter for the Register. He can be reached via email at irichardson@registermedia.com or on the social media platform of his choice.
Kim Reynolds is leading Deidre DeJear in the governor's race.
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