According to an independent poll released Friday evening, Liz Cheney appears headed towards a brutal primary defeat against her opponent.
A poll of likely primary voters shows Cheney trailing Hageman by a wide margin. Only 27% of Wyomingites have a favorable opinion of the top Republicans on the House January 6 committee.
According to the manager of the firm that conducted the survey, Liz Cheney is going to get beaten. That's a done deal.
There had been little independent polling of the race.
A primary loss would cap a stunning split from what is now the Trump- influenced mainstream GOP. Donald Trump is trying to get her out of the party. Kevin McCarthy has endorsed Hageman.
The survey shows that the January 6 investigation is disillusioning to voters. A majority of voters are less likely to support Cheney because she is helping investigate the Capitol attack.
Cheney's campaign hopes that Democratic or independent voters will cross over to vote in the primary. It is not likely that there are enough of them to win. A majority of voters say they would vote for Cheney. She still trails by 22 percentage points.
The other 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump have either retired or become less critical of the former president. Cheney didn't do either. She delivered a speech at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library that suggested Republicans should choose between the truth and Trump.
"At this moment, we are facing a domestic threat that we have never faced before, and that is a former president who is trying to undermine the foundations of our constitutional Republic," Cheney said at the time. Republican leaders and elected officials have made themselves hostages to this crazy man.
The representative couldn't be reached immediately.
Early voting began shortly before the Star-Tribune poll was done. A survey shows that a lot of Wyoming voters are likely to vote in the primary. There is a margin of error.
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