If regulators don't grant Boeing an exception for new safety requirements, the program will be canceled.
The highest capacity version of the Boeing plane is currently being worked on by Boeing. Boeing has been under increased scrutiny when it comes to certification after two crashes of the MAX plane.
The FAA requires planes to be certified as of 2023 if they want to comply with crew alert regulations.
The only new Boeing jet that doesn't feature this technology is the737 MAX, which is based on an aircraft that was designed in the 1960's. If the MAX isn't certified by the end of 2022, the plane will need to feature all new safety technology, which will be costly, further increase the timeline for certification, and will also require additional training for pilots.
It is possible that the plane will get certified before the end of the year, but it is not likely.
If certification isn't granted without an updated system, Boeing will scrap the project. Even a world without the -10) is not that threatening, and it may need to be scrapped.
If you certify the aircraft with the current technology, Boeing will not bother.
One wonders how this will go.
Boeing is pretending it is happy to just write off the whole project. There are hundreds of orders for these planes, and Delta is rumored to be ordering one.
This jet is important to compete with the A320neo. Boeing's narrow bodies can't compete with the range of the upcoming A321XLR, but at least the MAX 10 can carry a lot of passengers.
This isn't a case of "oh it's not a big deal if it doesn't work out"
Adding these changes would be time consuming and costly. I would almost feel sorry for Boeing, except that they lost a lot of credibility after the two crashes of the MAX. Increased scrutiny around aircraft certification is caused by Boeing.
If we get to the point where this jet isn't certified in 2022, and if Boeing walks away from the plane, could we see the government grant an exception? Billions of dollars worth of aircraft are manufactured in the US.
Boeing is trying to get the MAX 10 certified by the end of the year. If the plane isn't certified by the end of 2022, Boeing will have to install all new technology on the jet, which will be expensive and require more pilot training Boeing is threatening to walk away from the plane if it isn't approved.
Do you think this will affect the certification of the Boeing MAX?