There was no protection for investors in the first half of the year.
There was a perfect storm of runaway inflation, slowing global growth, war, an energy crisis, and a food crisis that slammed the markets.
Jim Reid, a member of the research team atDeutsche Bank, commented on the story in a note to clients this morning. The S&P 500 has seen its worst H1 performance in 60 years. It has fallen for two quarters for the first time since the financial crisis.
Worst performance in 60 years is what it looks like. Go to the numbers.
Your portfolio is performing better if you have long safe-haven dollars and crude. The US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 39% on the year, and the dollar is far superior to the world's currency. It's good to win.
It's been a first-half to forget if you're heavily invested in any of the above.
Only one of the S&P 500 sectors is in positive territory for the year.
The group that was hardest hit was the crypto bulls. The first half of the year saw a steep fall in the price of the digital currency. Over the first six months of the year, that wasn't the worst-performing virtual coin.
The 10-year Treasury is down 9.4% on the year, and it was an ugly first half for bondholders. This is the first time in 48 years that both stocks and bonds have fallen in the same period.
The first half of the year will be described here.
The bear markets last about 16 months. It would suggest investors are stuck in the first half of an uncertain stretch as the odds on a recession continue to increase.
We are halfway through the bear market.
Adjusted for inflation, 2022 first half S&P 500 down 25-26%, and Nasdaq down 34-35%, Bitcoin down 64-65%.
That was multiple compression. Next up, earnings compression. So, maybe halfway there.