The season is over for the premier league. The tickets to Europe and passports to obscurity have been handed out.
With it, we draw the curtain on the third season of VAR, and with it another 38 rounds of controversy and arguments over refereeing in England's top flight.
We calculated how the VAR decisions might have affected the outcome of the games.
The final table has some important changes.
Who won the title? Is it possible that Spurs still made it into the league? Did Manchester United get the best of the VAR? Is it possible that one of the strugglers stayed up without those crucial VAR calls?
Our calculation is more than just the number of times a team gets a favorable VAR call. When these VAR decisions take place, how they might have changed the course of the match and whether that impacted upon the final score are more important.
The VAR Effect Table is brought to you by ESPN. We took all 120 VAR decisions in the premier league and created an alternative table showing who the true winners and loser are.
The winners and the loser without VAR.
The first VAR overturn in each game is taken because the calculation considers that the whole direction of the game has been altered. The plot of any time travel movie is similar to that of a Marvel timeline.
If a goal is disallowed for being in an ineligible position, it is given as a goal.
If a penalty has been canceled, it is considered to have been awarded and scored, unless the team in question has a penalty-conversion record of less than 50%. Half of the spot kicks were missed by both Burnley andWatford, with Man United on top with 60%. A penalty may be missed if it is less than 50%.
If a goal is scored through a penalty or an incorrect call through the VAR, the goal is not allowed.
We took into account a number of factors before coming up with a predicted outcome.
The results of the previous six matches give an indication of how a team has been playing.
It is less likely that the score will change again after this point if an incident happens late in the game.
This allows us to take into account which team has been creating the better chances and which team is in the ascendancy.
Team strength is related to form and general strength. The league position and goal- scoring and defensive records are taken into account.
A red-card decision being reversed may have an impact on the outcome of a match.
The results were used to modify the table and show if the league position is better or worse without VAR.
Spurs pipped their arch-rivals to the title on the final day. Without VAR, it could have been a different story.
Spurs were one of the biggest winners without VAR and lost two points. The six-point swing means the neighbours finish four points clear of the fourth place team. The race for the league would not have gone down to the final day.
Only West Ham had more VAR decisions in their favor than the other side.
The course of key matches was changed by two. The VAR decision gave Manchester City a penalty as they were down by a goal at home. The VAR Effect Table shows that the goal changed the course of the game and led to a City win. The second decision was in a home loss to the Seagulls, where Gabriel Martinelli had a goal ruled out for being in an ineligible position, which was calculated as a win for Mikel Arteta's men.
In a game which finished goalless, and a spot kick awarded to Spurs in a game when the score was also blank, there were several overturns. Spurs had a Harry Kane goal allowed in their 3-2 win at Newcastle. They had decisions go against them, such as the Kane goal being ruled out in the draw at Saints.
It's not hard done by, but it's in fact the team that gets the most points without VAR calls is the one that is hard done by. The six points gained by the Foxes catapults them up two places from eighth to sixth and into the Europa League. Spurs gained two points from the VAR and dropped out of Europe completely.
Ademola Lookman had a goal ruled out for being in an area of the field that was not clearly marked by the referee, while Brendan Rodgers had a goal ruled out for being in an area of the field that was not clearly marked by the referee.
There were a number of decisions made by Man United that went their way, including a red card shown to Lewis Dunk when United were up by a goal and a late winner forEverton. There was a point swing between the clubs because of the late winner at Man United being ruled out for a foul on Kelechi Iheanacho.
The refereeing body apologized for the decisions that didn't get overturned, such as Rodri's handball for Man City. Without the use of the VAR, the Toffees are four points better off and seven points away from the bottom of the table. The winner at Man United was one of the key decisions that went againstEverton.
Of the other teams to receive points without the VAR, Brentford gain two to finish 12th, while Manchester City and Norwich are both one point better off.
Man City won the league by two points rather than one, as the final points tally was the same as before.
The first half of the season was one of the best in the history of VAR, but decisions have evened themselves out since and the Magpies are now on the same points.
West Ham United had more VAR decisions in their favor than any other club, but their points tally is the same.
The VAR Effect Table shows that Leeds United are in the bottom half of the table, so they might have to use the VAR to stay in the league.
There are a couple of factors that come into play here. The home draw with Leicester and the injury-time penalty given to the Yorkshire side against Crystal Palace were two of the key calls which went against them.
The second-half penalty that was taken by the Clarets when they were down by a goal was revoked by the VAR. The clubs are both on 35, and the bottom three teams are on goal difference.
It was a close call for them as well. The Saints are three points worse off without VAR than they are without it. The loss of those points left the team just a point above the bottom of the table. It could have been a much closer call, but for the VAR decision at the end of the game, when they seemed destined for a defeat.
Even though Wolves had more VAR decisions against them than they did against them, they lost two points because of the timing of the calls.
They suffer a four-point swing with the Canaries and plummet to rock bottom. Even though they had more VAR decisions against them than any other team, they were only a single point better off without VAR.
The other teams that lost two points were Crystal Palace, Crystal Villa, and Brighton and Hove.
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