Walter Thompson, Ram Iyer /
Aerial view of Alcatraz island in the San Francisco Bay. USA. The most famous Alcatraz Prison, Jail.

Consumers are being squeezed on all sides. Slower wage growth and rising inflation have encouraged shoppers to defer payments on everything from groceries to durable goods.

Affirm, Afterpay and Klarna own 75% of the sector in the U.S., which leaves little room for startups. If their products and services are clearly differentiated, they can have a slightly easier time.

Four investors were interviewed to learn more about the industry.

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  • Frances Schwiep, partner, Two Sigma Ventures
  • Melissa Guzy, co-founder and managing partner, Arbor Ventures
  • Jonathan Whittle, co-founder and partner, Quona Capital
  • Jason Brown, partner, Victory Park Capital

The investors talked about how to manage fraud and default risk, as well as what kinds of investment opportunities they are looking for.

Consumers will soon be able to make payments on recurring expenses like rent and subscription services, according to several predictions.

With so many people embracing the option, we also see opportunities for new products for small businesses that are looking to reduce cash flow strains or avoid maxing out credit lines.

It won't be easy for new players to buy into the game, no matter how strong their idea is.

A new entrant will need a significant amount of capital from the start for marketing and winning a position on the checkout page.

Thanks a lot for reading this week.

Walter Thompson Senior Editor, TechCrunch+

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The age of the centaur: $100M ARR is the new cloud valuation milestone

There were just 39 startup valued at $1 billion at the time, and they were rare.

It only takes one eager investor at a $1 billion valuation to give a startup the status of a "unicorn", according to partners Mary D and Onofrio.

The hoofbeats of a herd of unicorns have grown deafening, and now they suggest a new creature: a company that has reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue.

At $100 million ARR, the startup is an success. It is impossible to build a $100 million ARR business without strong product-market fit, a large sales and marketing organization, and a critical mass of customer traction.

The age of the centaur: $100M ARR is the new cloud valuation milestone

A founder’s guide to calculating CAC and LTV the right way

How well do you know your company's key metrics?

The round sizes are getting smaller. According to Blair Silverberg, CEO and co-founder of Hum Capital, founders need to get a firm handle on LTV and customer acquisition cost before they start sending out pitch decks.

While founders with an eye on high valuations may hesitate to follow a conservative approach, it can be crucial for building trust with investors.

Several factors that will help calculate LTV/CAC are identified in this post.

As a former venture capitalist, I always tell founders that the most powerful tool they can use is a data-driven pitch.

A founder’s guide to calculating CAC and LTV the right way

Use data from Q5 to boost mobile app growth for the entire year

Data gathered during the slow period that starts after Christmas and lasts until mid-January can help mobile app developers fine- tune their marketing strategy for the upcoming year.

The best time to improve your ad creative strategy is after the holidays when user engagement rates spike.

Use data from Q5 to boost mobile app growth for the entire year

As interest rates rise, startups and VCs are playing a new game

Image of a blue piggybank wearing a belt atop a pile of coins.

s-c-s (opens in a new window) is an image.

Netscape was the most popular web browser and the music industry was apoplectic when the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked the interest rate.

In an environment that doesn't favor short-term, risky bets, investors are trying to manage a win. Kyle Wiggers and Alex Wilhelm spoke to Brian Aoaeh, co-founder and general partner at REFASHIOND, and Ryan Wexler, general partner at Dell Technologies Capital, to find out how investment priorities are changing.

For the majority of companies that are starting to show traction and now raising Series B/C, we see investors starting to focus more on public comps and path to profitability versus previous questions focused on market size and how large of an exit opportunity there may be.

As interest rates rise, startups and VCs are playing a new game

Sequoia’s Jess Lee explains how VCs think about their deals

The image is from Sequoia Capital.

It's important to sell your solutions to customers, but it's also important to sell the problem to an investor.

Lee said that with so many demands on investors, the best thing a founder can do is not sell their solution and talk about why they are going to beat their competitors.

Sequoia’s Jess Lee explains how VCs think about their deals