Russia has no plans to declare war against Ukraine as part of its Victory Day celebration May 9, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Wednesday, but mounting Western intelligence suggests Russia may mark the commemoration with an increase in its military campaign.

Russian President Vladimir Putin attends the APEC Summit in Vietnam

Russian President Putin and his spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, stand together.

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There is no chance that Russian President Vladimir Putin will make an official war declaration on May 9.

The Soviet Union's 1945 victory over the Nazis is celebrated annually with a military parade in Moscow, an opponent the Kremlin may latch onto given its repeated and misguided justification of the invasion as a way to rid Ukraine of neo-Nazis.

British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace told LBC Radio last week that Putin will use the Victory Day occasion to declare war.

A war declaration by the Kremlin would pave the way for the mass Mobilization of its population toward the war effort, and it has only described its invasion of Ukraine thus far as a special military operation.

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Peskov may have denied speculation about a May 9 war declaration, but the Kremlin has changed its statements about the conflict before. The Russian Ambassador to the U.S. said there was no invasion planned for February 20, four days before the war began.

If Russia tries to take over the pro-Kremlin states in the Donbas region. The U.S. intelligence suggests that Russia will annex the so-called People's Republic of Luhansk sometime this month.

Crucial Quote

The whole Kremlin narrative would be changed by a national mobilize, according to the Senior Analyst for Russia of the Crisis Group.

US and Western officials say that Putin may soon declare war on Ukraine.

Russia wants to annex occupied Ukraine.

May 9 is a big day for Russia, and what a declaration of war would mean.