The behind a new, seemingly far-fetched Trump administration on Thursday officially threw its legal challenge to the Affordable Care Act, arguing that the law’s protections for people with pre-existing conditions are unconstitutional.
The lawsuit, now before a federal district judge in Texas, comes from officials in 20 conservative states. And its prospects for success look slim. The Supreme Court has already rejected two legal challenges to the law, the second on a 6-3 decision that came with a strongly worded ruling from Chief Justice John Roberts.
State attorneys general will step in to defend the law from this new challenge. And they have strong legal arguments on their side.
The lawsuit’s key argument is that Congress intended for the pre-existing condition protections to work in tandem with the law’s individual mandate, the provision that people have insurance or pay a penalty. Now that Congress has decided to zero out the penalty, as Republicans did last year, the pre-existing conditions have to go, too.
That would mean insurers would no longer be subject to “guaranteed issue” (a requirement that they sell policies to anybody, regardless of medical status) or “community rating” (a prohibition on charging higher premiums to people with pre-existing conditions).
The problem, many scholars have noted, is that Congress has taken action since it passed the Affordable Care Act leaving pre-existing protection in place even as it reduced the individual mandate penalty to zero. Whether or not that was a smart policy move, it is clearly what Congress intended ― and Congress gets to make those kinds of decisions.
“If Congress had wanted to repeal the guaranteed issue and community rating provisions of the law, it would’ve done so ― but it didn’t,” Nicholas Bagley, a law professor at the University of Michigan, told HuffPost.
Even some who supported previous lawsuits against the Affordable Care Act think this latest lawsuit is weaker, which means there’s a good chance it never even gets to the high court.
But the administration’s decision could be significant for two other reasons.
One is that it deviates from the usual Justice Department tradition under which its lawyers defend even laws that the sitting president and his party oppose. On Thursday, four career attorneys from the Department of Justice asked to remove themselves from the case. That is highly unusual, leaving legal observers like Bagley to speculate that the lawyers may have felt they could not in good conscience sign onto the brief.
Notably, the last time this happened was under President Barack Obama, when his Justice Department declined to defend the Defense of Marriage Act in court. But that law, which prohibited same-sex couples from getting federal benefits, was widely thought to be constitutionally questionable by the time the Obama administration’s lawyers dropped their defense of it ― and, in fact, the Supreme Court would soon strike it down.
The other significance of Thursday’s action is not legal. It’s political.
The Trump administration’s contempt for Obamacare is no secret. And although the president and his supporters have sometimes said they believe in protections for people with pre-existing conditions, they have repeatedly taken action ― like trying to pass repeal legislation or rolling back the Affordable Care Act’s regulations on what plans must cover ― that seek to undermine or obliterate those protections entirely.
Those GOP efforts sparked a tremendous backlash. But the effort to get a repeal bill through Congress ended in the fall. It’s possible that those memories have faded from public consciousness a bit, and that may even help explain Trump’s gradually, if modestly, improving approval numbers in the polls.
The decision to jump into this health care case, on the side of the plaintiffs out to gut protections for people with pre-existing conditions, could put the issue back in the public eye. That could work well for Democrats, who have made clear they believe health care is a winning political issue for them again.
“After years of Republicans trying to repeal the protections stopping insurance companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions, now Trump says the protections are unconstitutional. Republicans always had to defend those votes in this election, but now they have to defend his decree too,” said Jesse Ferguson, a Democratic strategist who works with health care advocacy groups.
David Bergstein, a spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, said that they’ll be out there making sure Republicans will have to defend this decision.
The move could be particularly important in two key Senate races. The original brief in the lawsuit included, as co-counsel, a pair of state attorneys general: Josh Hawley of Missouri and Patrick Morrisey of West Virginia.
Hawley is challenging Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill, while Morrisey is challenging Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin. Missouri and West Virginia are relatively conservative states, difficult for Democrats to hold, and McCaskill, in particular, is thought to be vulnerable.
But polls have shown repeal to be exceedingly unpopular, even among Republican voters. A chance to remind voters that Hawley and Morrisey support it ― that the two GOP officials have signed a legal brief that would end protections for pre-existing conditions ― could help keep those two seats in Democratic hands.
Amanda Terkel contributed reporting.