While boxing fans seemed to have accepted that Floyd Mayweather Jr and Manny Pacquiao will never meet again in a professional boxing match, the oddsmakers seem to be holding on to hope and allowing sports bettors to take advantage of a December 31 wager cut off date.
According to the boxing odds at MyBookie, Mayweather is a -260 favorite to defeat Pacquiao for the second time. Pacquiao is a +200 underdog.
Things had gone quiet for a while regarding the Mayweather vs. Pacquiao rematch until the Filipino Senator defeated Keith Thurman on July 20 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Once again, the chatter of a rematch picked up instantly. What’s very telling is the social boost that both Mayweather and Pacquiao get the second the topic of a rematch resurfaces.
In the last year, meaning July 25, 2018 to July 24, 2019 right after the Thurman fight, the tweet that Pacquiao posted that performed the best was where he essentially challenged Mayweather to a second fight, with this post generating 88,508 responses and 67,690 Reactions.
The fourth best performing tweet for Pacquiao was the next day, when he disputedMayweather’s name was on any of his PBC contracts. That tweet generated 15,323 responses and 12,171Reactions.
On the other hand, between July 25, 2018 – July 24, 2019, the third best performing post for Mayweather on Facebook was the post that instigated the latest dispute, accusing Pacquiao’s entire career of being built off of Mayweather’s name. That generated 87,625responses and 68,912reactions for Mayweather. The eighteenth best performing post on Facebook for Mayweather in the last year was the follow up, where he claimed he was Pacquiao’s boss, which generated28,119responses and 20,524reactions. Those two posts were also uploaded to Instagram, where they cumulatively received 1,423,276 likes.
Around his most recent fights, there’s no question that Mayweather gained the most fans on social media, the day he fought Pacquiao. Hehad fan growth of 161,966 on May 2, 2015 on the day of the Pacquiao fight. Mayweather had fan growth of 151,558 on August 26, 2017 on the day of the Conor McGregor fight; with fan growth of 7,523on September 12, 2015, the day of the Andre Berto bout. Around his exhibition fight vs. kick-boxer Tenshin Nasukawa on December 31, 2018, Mayweather had 5,922 in fan growth.
Fan Growth score measures the total growth of a brand’s digital audience, meaning new Facebook page Likes, new Instagram followers, new Tumblr followers, new Twitter Followers, and new YouTube channel subscribers.
Likewise Pacquiao gained the most fans on May 2, 2015, with fan growth of 452,370 the day he fought Mayweather. In comparison, Pacquiao had fan growth of 149,113 on July 15, 2018, the day of the Lucas Matthysse fight; fan growth of 3,199 on January 19, 2019 around the Adrien Broner fight; and fan growth of 23,632on July 2, 2017 around the Jeff Horn fight. Pacquiao had9,792in fan growth on July 20, 2019 around the Keith Thurman fight.
So far in 2019, meaning January 1- July 24, right after the Thurman fight, there have been 66,439 tweets directly mentioning both Pacquiao and Mayweather. That’s 9%of the tweets that have mentionedMayweatheroverall, and 8% of tweets that have mentioned Pacquiaooverall during that time period.
Since the Thurman fight, there have been 22,146tweets using the hashtag #MayPac2.
Of course, just when we think the chatter will die down, something surfaces to keep the flames alive. On August 18, a video was posted online showing Mayweather talking about going to Saudi Arabia to discuss potentially setting up a rematch. There were 1,899tweets mentioning Mayweather on that day with 1,393tweets mentioning Pacquiao. There were 1,647responses on August 18 to the original video tweet Michael Benson posted showing Mayweather talking about the Saudi Arabia trip.
It might be hard to kill the rumors of a rematch no matter what the fighters actually say. For instance, Mayweather quickly came out and clarified that the clip was an old video, he had gone to Saudi Arabia in January, and there’s no rematch talks currently occurring. However when Michael Benson posted that talks had been killed, that clarification only generated 248 responses.
Back to the odds. It seems that although both Mayweather and Pacquiao are destined not to meet again in a professional bout, it doesn’t stop people from wanting to keep that hope alive. Even if both fighters are past their prime.
As the year comes to an end and other options are currently being discussed for Pacquiao, while the oddsmakers hold out hope, only time will tell if Mayweather and Pacquiao will do it one more time.