China says its May trade surplus was $41.65 billion, significantly more than expected


China said on Monday its overall trade surplus was $41.65 billion last month, significantly more than expected as the trade impasse between Washington and Beijing drags on.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected China to post an overall trade surplus of $20.5 billion in May.

The larger trade surplus came as the country’s dollar-denominated exports surprisingly increased last month, while imports came in worse than expected. China’s General Administration of Customs said on Monday that exports in May inched up 1.1% year-on-year, while imports fell 8.5% during the same period.

Economists in the Reuters poll had forecast both exports and imports to fall 3.8% year-on-year in May.

In April, China’s overall trade surplus in April was $13.8 billion, far below the projected $35 billion. That’s partly due to an unexpected rise of 4% in imports, and a surprise fall of 2.7% in exports for the month.

Trade surplus with US widens

Trump threatened that more levies could come – a point reiterated by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who told CNBC the president “is perfectly happy” to increase tariffs on China if his expected meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping doesn’t go well. Trump said that he’s expected to meet Xi later this month.

Many analysts expect China to experience a larger economic hit from its ongoing trade war, with data in recent months showing signs of slowing activity. The International Monetary Fund and major banks such as Morgan Stanley recently lowered their growth forecasts for China citing trade concerns.

But the latest employment data in the U.S. – which showed weaker than expected jobs creation – put the two countries on roughly equal footing, said Johanna Chua, head of Asia economics and market analysis at Citi.

Chua told CNBC’s “Street Signs” after the latest Chinese data release that the U.S. jobs data may be the first sign that the American economy is getting hit by the escalation in trade tensions.

“For now, both sides – from an economic standpoint – have a lot to gain from doing a deal. But I think from the politics side, it’s actually getting tougher,” she said.

– Reuters contributed to this report.